When I made last week’s picks, I thought I made decisions that gave me the best chance to win. But it all blew up in my face…just like Bill Belichick’s week…. So with that in mind, I plan to put that behind me and charge full speed ahead so let’s move on to the picks for week 11. Of course you know that I’m not an NSAWins handicapper and these picks are just for kicks and giggles…
Last Week
2-5 (29%)
Season
34-38 (47%)
Thursday 11/19
Miami plus 3 – In many ways these 2 teams are mirror images of each other, both are divisonal winners from last year that have struggled this year. They both favor the running game and like to pound it out.. Carolina can be counted on to lay eggs at home, so the week after they beat the Falcons at home, I’m thinking they’re due… give me the points…
Miami/Carolina Under 43 – With the ground game featured on both sides, I’ll go with the under…
Sunday 11/22
Buffalo plus 9 – I look for the Bills to play hard for their new coach and Jacksonville does not blow teams out and their games are usually close affairs so I”ll take a flyer on Buffalo plus the 9 points here.
Indianapolis minus 1 – I think this line is too low and I’ll take Indy to keep rolling. I know Baltimore needs the game to keep their playoff hopes alive but they just don’t have the firepower to keep up with Manning and crew. Maybe if their defense was the one from 3-4 years ago, but the 2009 edition is pedestrian…
New York Jets plus 10.5 – Look, I know the Pats are embarrassed and pissed off and want to rip these guys’ heads off, but games between these two are usually tight and I think NY’s defense can keep Brady from teeing off on them…I just don’t trust NE to cover big spreads….
Philadelphia minus 3 – Gut check time for The Birds who cannot afford to lose 3 in a row and fall behind Dallas any further.. I just see Philly’s defense foaming at the mouth to get some of Cutler’s stupid passes thrown their way…
San Diego plus 3 – I see an outright win for SD as they are playing better and better and Denver has fallen back to reality. These are two teams going in opposite directions. Plus, Orton may not play and it is very apparent that teams now know how to stop their offense.
Monday 11/23
Tennessee plus 5 – I see a Titan team that is playing much better with VY at the helm and who wants to use the national TV game to show everyone they are not as bad as they were earlier in the year. They also have a score to settle with Houston and the Texans are fully capable of laying the egg here.
Tennessee/Houston Under 48 – I will stay on the under on Monday…