2020 NFL Betting Tips – Best Bets for Offensive Rookie of the Year
The 2020 NFL Draft is in the books, and now that we know where the rookies will be playing, it is time to turn out attention to some future bets with our 2020 NFL Betting Tips for the upcoming season. I’ll start with the Offensive Rookie of the Year Award, and much like winning the Heisman Trophy, it definitely helps to be either a quarterback or running back when it comes to winning OROY honors.
Since 2000, quarterbacks (8) and running backs (9) have combined to win 17 of the 20 awards. The three exceptions were all wide receivers, with Odell Beckham Jr. the most recent to accomplish the feat in 2014. Looking at the early odds, there is a good chance that the trend continues for the 2020 season.
NFL Betting Tips: Favorites to Bet
Joe Burrow, QB, Cincinnati Bengals (+250)
Coming off a national title and the best statistical season in college football history, the Heisman Trophy winner will look to add Offensive Rookie of the Year honors to his resume. Playing for the Bengals is less than ideal, but Burrow will almost certainly be under center in Week 1, which is the first step towards winning this award. He will also inherit decent weapons, including receivers A.J. Green and Tyler Boyd and running back Joe Mixon. Cincinnati also added another target, Tee Higgins, in the second round of the draft. There is going to be a learning curve, and Burrow’s production might translate to a great win/loss record. However, 16 games’ worth of numbers for a team that will likely be playing from behind could mean around 4,000 passing yards and 20-plus touchdowns. The opportunity for volume-based production puts him in a great spot.
Clyde Edwards-Helaire, RB, Kansas City Chiefs (+800)
Talk about a rapid riser. It was a bit of a surprise that Edwards-Helaire was the first running back off the board, but landing in Kansas City makes him an immediate favorite for OROY honors. We saw what Kareem Hunt did as a rookie as the lead back in the Kansas City offense, leading the league in rushing and catching more than 50 passes, and Edwards-Helaire’s ability to catch passes out of the backfield should give him the chance to be an every-down back. With defenses focused on slowing down Patrick Mahomes, Edwards-Helaire should fall into 1,500 yards from scrimmage and double-digit scores. Among the betting favorites, he’s my top bet.
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NFL Betting Tips: Top Value Bets
Jonathan Taylor, RB, Indianapolis Colts (+950)
Marlon Mack is the incumbent, but he lacks explosiveness and isn’t a threat catching the ball. Enter Taylor, a proven workhorse who offers big-play ability and upside as a receiver. With Philip Rivers taking over as quarterback, the Colts will almost certainly give more snaps to an all-around back like Taylor, which means the rookie could see in the 15-touch range behind one of the better offensive lines in the league. Don’t be surprised when Taylor leaves Mack in the dust sooner rather than later. He’s a candidate to lead all rookies in yards from scrimmage and scores. Taylor is a solid alternative to Clyde Edwards-Helaire, and he offers a little more room for profit.
Cam Akers, RB, Los Angeles Rams (+2000)
May favorite bet on the board for OROY is without a doubt Akers. What’s left of Todd Gurley is now in Atlanta, and based on the fact the Rams spent a second-round pick on Akers, it is safe to assume that the staff doesn’t think too highly of any of the other backs currently on the roster. Akers produced strong numbers for some average Florida State teams, and he has the skills to be an every-down back in the NFL. If Sean McVay deploys Akers like he deployed a healthy Gurley, big numbers could follow. With so much room to profit, this is a no-brainer bet.
Denzel Mims, WR, New York Jets (+2300)
As I already mentioned, receivers don’t have a lot of luck winning this award, but I don’t think taking a flier on Mims is a terrible idea. With only Breshad Perriman and Jamison Crowder for competition, the role of Sam Darnold’s go-to receiver is definitely up for grabs. Mims is athletic phenom with the speed to stretch the field or take short passes to the house, and his leaping ability should make him a tough guard in the red zone. If Darnold and Mims can get on the same page, the rookie could end up being the No. 1 option in the passing game for the Jets. I don’t see another rookie receiver with a quicker path to a bunch of targets.
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