2012 NFL Picks: Green Bay Packers @ Seattle Seahawks Vegas Odds and Predictions – Free NFL Picks 9/23/2012: When you think of the Green Bay Packers, you think about their Super Bowl title from two years ago, their 15-1 regular season record last season, and the defending NFL MVP they have running their offense. When you think about the Seattle Seahawks, you probably think about the ridiculous situation the team has at quarterback and possibly about Marshawn Lynch getting Skittles thrown at him when he scores. The point is that these two franchises are on very different levels right now when it comes to success. However, an underrated Seattle defense along with one of the better home-field advantages could make for an interesting matchup when the two teams meet on Monday night. The oddsmakers seem to agree, and the Packers are just three-point favorites on the road.
Whenever Green Bay is involved in a game, the Packers’ offense has to be the starting point for any breakdown. With quarterback Aaron Rodgers leading the pass-happy attack, Green Bay had the top-scoring offense in the NFL last year despite having a terrible rushing attack. This year’s group still can’t run the ball, but with all the weapons back in the passing game, it is only a matter of time before the Packers start piling up points once again. Having a healthy Greg Jennings to throw to would go a long way to pushing the offense back to an elite level, and with the receiver likely to return baring any setbacks, Rodgers could be headed for his best game to date.
Granted, Seattle does have a solid defense, especially up front. The Seahawks terrorized Tony Romo and the Cowboys’ offense in a win last weekend, and the unit can stifle just about any running game out there. That being said, stopping the ground game is a non-factor against the pass-happy Packers. More importantly, the Green Bay offensive line is a bit better than the sieve of a group Dallas is running out there this season. The Seahawks will land some shots, but the Packers have the weapons to spread out the Seattle defense and take advantage of the unit’s weaknesses in the secondary, especially if Jennings returns as expected.
Seattle also has the issue of starting a rookie at quarterback. Russell Wilson has been solid in his first two NFL starts, but Chicago QB Jay Cutler can attest that the changes made by Green Bay in the offseason to upgrade the pass rush have definitely worked. Running back Marshawn Lynch does give the Seahawks a reliable option in the ground game, but suspect receivers and Wilson’s inexperience are bound to catch up to Seattle at some point. The pressure put on by Clay Matthews and the rest of the Green Bay pass rushers could be just the thing to force Wilson and company into some critical turnovers.
Don’t get me wrong, Seattle’s style of play naturally makes them a tough team to face. The Seahawks try to control the clock on offense with their power running game, and their defense is physical up front and does a decent job of limiting big plays. Throw in a home crowd that makes adjusting plays difficult for opponents and has been known to force a false start or two, and the Seahawks have all the pieces to hang within a touchdown of a high-scoring team like the Packers. The problem is that Seattle would have to pay nearly perfectly for that to happen, and with the current spread at just three points, Wilson would have to play the game of his life for the Seahawks to keep pace with the firepower that Green Bay brings to the table. It won’t be a blowout, but the Packers should score the win on the road.
Prediction: Green Bay Packers (-3) Cover the Spread
Green Bay Packers @ Seattle Seahawks
Line: Green Bay -3
Total: Over/Under 46
Time: 8:30 PM EST on ESPN
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