2019 Production Alliance Group 300 Odds & Predictions – Auto Club Speedway: The 2019 NASCAR XFINITY Series rolls into Auto Club Speedway this weekend for the Production Alliance Group 300. Saturday’s race wraps up a three-race stint on the West Coast, and it will also be the first of two races held at 2-mile ovals this season.
The race is also a companion event with the Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series, and for the third week in a row, Kyle Busch is on the entry list. Busch has won the first two XFINITY races he has entered this season, and this weekend, he will be gunning for his 200th career national series win.
Not surprisingly, he’s the heavy favorite to win Saturday. You could invest heavily in Busch, but if you don’t think the risk isn’t worth the reward, then you could always take a few fliers on some of my value bets and sleepers. Check out all my favorite betting options the XFINITY Series Production Alliance Group 300 at Auto Club Speedway.
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2019 Production Alliance Group 300 Odds & Predictions
Favorites to Bet
Kyle Busch (-150)
I’ve said it the last two weeks, and I will say it again this week. You won’t win a lot of money by betting on Kyle Busch, but betting on him might be your only chance to win any money Saturday. He’s won both of the XFINITY races he has entered in 2019, and he will be tough to stop again Sunday.
Christopher Bell (+350)
The one driver who has been able to hang with Kyle Busch has been Bell. He dominated the Atlanta race when Busch wasn’t in the field, and he actually drove by Busch for the lead at both Las Vegas and Phoenix. If something happens to Busch, Bell is the next man up. He’s also the one driver who has a legit shot to beat Busch straight up.
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Value Bets
Tyler Reddick (+1000)
While he hasn’t quite been as strong as Christopher Bell, Reddick is the only other XFINITY regular who has had a car capable of winning every race this year. He’s been particularly good on long runs, which could come in handy at Auto Club, a track known for tire wear and long, caution-free stretches. In terms of value, he might be your most realistic option after Busch and Bell.
Brandon Jones (+3000)
Jones had made a huge leap in his second year with Joe Gibbs Racing. Had he not been taken out in the closing laps at Las Vegas, he would have four finishes of seventh or better in the first four races, including three top-five finishes. Driving for JGR, he obviously has the equipment to win. It seems like Jones’ ability has finally caught up with his car. Throw in JGR’s success at Auto Club, and his first XFINITY win could be on tap this weekend.
Chase Briscoe (+5000)
Briscoe has immediately established himself as a top-10 threat now that he has Stewart-Haas Racing equipment on a weekly basis, but his odds haven’t caught up to his performance yet. At this point, Briscoe appears to have the same shot at winning as guys like Brandon Jones, Austin Cindric and Noah Gragson, and he’s getting longer odds to win than all of them. That means more money to win.
Sleeper Special
Michael Annett (+8000)
Most years, Annett wouldn’t make my radar, but this hasn’t been most years for Annett. He’s followed his win at Daytona with a couple more top-10s, and he brings a 6.5 average finish into Saturday’s race at Auto Club. Annett’s odds still reflect the driver who has run in the middle of the pack throughout his career and not the top-10 performer he has been in 2019. If you are rolling the dice on a serious longshot, Annett is easily your best value.
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2019 Production Alliance Group 300 Odds
2019 Production Alliance Group 300 – Odds To Win
Kyle Busch -150
Christopher Bell +350
Cole Custer +700
Justin Allgaier +800
Tyler Reddick +1000
Ryan Preece +2000
Brandon Jones +3000
Austin Cindric +3000
Noah Gragson +4000
John Hunter Necheck +4000
Justin Haley +5000
Chase Briscoe +4000
Michael Annett +5000
Field +2500
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