2019 Go Bowling at The Glen Picks & Predictions – Value Bets & Sleepers: The Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series visits Watkins Glen International this weekend for the second road course events of the 2019 season. The long, twisting, 11-turn track will host Sunday’s Go Bowling at The Glen, and while road racing aces usually flex their muscles here, there could also be an opportunity to hit it big on a longshot.
It takes such a long time to turn a lap at Watkins Glen that drivers can easily put under green without losing a lap. As a result, drivers can short pit, hoping to catch a caution and cycle to the front of the field when everyone else has to stop. The gamesmanship occurs when drivers start pitting a lap or two before their fuel windows open, hoping to be able to stretch their fuel, steal track position and potentially steal the win.
The importance of pit strategy can be a major X-factor at road courses like Watkins Glen, and it can sow the seeds of a major upset. Of course, a driver still has to be a good enough at a road course to take advantage of the opportunity, and with that in mind, I have highlighted my favorite sleeper bets for Sunday’s Go Bowling at The Glen.
2019 Go Bowling at The Glen Picks & Predictions: Value Bets & Sleepers
Value Bets
Kurt Busch (16/1)
He’s one of the best road racers in the series today, and over the last 10 road course events, he ranks third in points scored. During that same stretch, Busch is tied for second in the series with eight top-10s, and his 7.4 average finish also ranks second among all drivers. If you want to drop below the heavy favorites to try to boost your potential profit, Busch is one of the best values.
Erik Jones (30/1)
Jones is on one of his hot streaks, finishing third at Kentucky, third at New Hampshire and second at Pocono ahead of Sunday’s race. He also happens to be a solid road course racer, cracking the top 10 in four of his six starts and finishing 10th and fifth in two starts at Watkins Glen. Joe Gibbs Racing has been excellent at the road course in general, and while his three teammates are all listed among the top-five betting favorites, Jones gives you a chance to gain exposure to the same equipment with substantially more room for profit.
William Byron (50/1)
There is a lot to love about Byron this weekend. He has emerged as a weekly top-10 threat in the second half of the regular season, putting himself in position to make the playoffs. He also finished eighth as a rookie in his Watkins Glen debut last season. Byron qualified on the front row at Sonoma back in June, leading 21 laps and winning Stage 1. There is no doubt that the youngster can hold his own at a road course, and his crew chief, Chad Knaus, is one of the best at working pit strategy. There is a enough potential with Byron to take a chance on him 50/1.
Sleeper Special
Matt DiBenedetto (80/1)
The biggest surprise of the first road course race of the season was the performance of DiBenedetto. After qualifying 19th at Sonoma, he wasted no time working his way to the front, coming away with a fourth-place finish. He also finished the race with the fourth-best driver rating and fourth-best average running position, so this wasn’t just a case of DiBenedetto using strategy to steal a great finish. He had a fast car. Considering that his performance at Sonoma was his first road course start since joining the No. 95 team, there is at least a chance that his top-five finish could be a sign of his upside. At 80/1, I’m willing to throw a few bucks his way to find out.
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2019 Zippo 200 Odds @ Watkins Glen International
Kyle Busch -150
Ryan Blaney +375
A. J. Allmendinger +575
Austin Cindric +900
Justin Allgaier +1300
Christopher Bell +1600
Cole Custer +2200
Chase Briscoe +2000
Ryan Preece +3300
Tyler Reddick +4400
Justin Haley +4400
Brandon Jones +7000
Michael Annett +9000
John Hunter Nemecheck +9000
Noah Gragson +10000
Jeremy Clements +30000
Ryan Sieg +40000
Field +4400
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