2019 Bass Pro Shops NRA Night Race & Predictions – Value Bets & Sleepers at Bristol Motor Speedway: Bristol Motor Speedway is the next stop on the Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series schedule, and the half-mile short track, has produced plenty of memorable moments and a few upsets over the years.
It is those occasional upsets that I am most concerned about for Saturday’s Bass Pro Shops NRA Night Race, and between the higher-than-normal attrition and the general unpredictability of short track racing, we will likely see some surprise contenders emerge over the course of 500 laps.
Don’t get me wrong. Bristol is not a wild-card race on the level of Daytona or Talladega, but compared to a “cookie-cutter” intermediate oval, there is definitely a better chance for a Cinderella story. Check out my favorite value bets and potential longshots for the Bass Pro Shops NRA Night Race at Bristol.
2019 Bass Pro Shops NRA Night Race & Predictions: Value Bets & Sleepers at Bristol Motor Speedway
Value Bets
Ryan Blaney (18/1)
While he has never won at Bristol, it seems like it is only a matter of time before that changes. Blaney has led at least 100 laps in all three of his starts here with Team Penske, leading a race-high 158 laps in the spring race this year. I love him at 18/1 Saturday night.
Kurt Busch (20/1)
Not only is Busch the defending winner of the night race at Bristol, but he was the runner-up in the spring race here earlier this year and has three top-five finishes in the last four races at the track. A six-time Bristol winner overall, the veteran offers one of the best track records here and plenty of room for profit.
Erik Jones (20/1)
He has had some bad luck at Bristol, but Jones always seems to have speed here. He’s also had his most success in the night race, leading a race-high 260 laps and finishing second in the 2017 race and cracking the top five again last August. Jones is one of the best values on the board.
Clint Bowyer (20/1)
Bowyer has been spiraling in recent weeks, and a rash of bad luck has him fighting for his playoff life. The good news for Bowyer, and for bettors for that matter, is that he is at his best at short tracks. He has finished eighth or better in four of his five starts at Bristol with Stewart-Haas Racing, leading 120 laps in the night race last year and leading 24 laps here in the spring. Bowyer has proven he can run up front and challenge for the win here, and he could have some sneaky value at 20/1.
Jimmie Johnson (40/1)
He has been mired in a slump for a while, and it has been even longer since the seven-time champ visited victory lane. However, Bristol could be the perfect spot to take a chance on him, especially since his odds have plummeted to 40/1. Believe it or not, Johnson has scored the most points of any driver over the last 10 races here, and his five top-five finishes and eight top-10s in that span are both tied for the most in the series. Johnson also owns the best average finish in that stretch, picking up a win.
Sleeper Special
Ryan Newman (100/1)
Newman is one of the best in the business at defending track position, and that aggressive style is a perfect fit for a short track like Bristol. The numbers back that up, and in his last 10 starts here, he owns an 11.6 average finish and has logged six top-10s. Newman has just one finish outside the top 15 in that same stretch, so he is always lurking close enough to the front to be able to try to steal a win with pit strategy if cautions fall right. If Newman can get himself out front late in the race, good luck trying to pass him for the win. He at least offers a puncher’s chance at pulling off the upset, which is about all you can ask for in a 100/1 longshot.
Get weekly Bovada NASCAR betting odds updated LIVE directly on NSAwins.com!
2019 Bass Pro Shops NRA Night Race Odds @ Bristol Motor Speedway
Kyle Busch #18 +500
Joey Logano #22 +850
Kevin Harvick #4 +800
Kyle Larson #42 +850
Martin Truex, Jr. #19 +1000
Brad Keselowski #2 +800
Denny Hamlin #11 +750
Ryan Blaney #12 +1000
Kurt Busch #1 +1000
Chase Elliott #9 +1600
Clint Bowyer #14 +3000
Erik Jones #20 +1700
Aric Almirola #10 +4000
Ricky Stenhouse, Jr. #17 +4500
Alex Bowman #88 +4500
Daniel Suarez #41 +5000
Jimmie Johnson #48 +6000
William Byron #24 +10000
Ryan Newman #6 +20000
Austin Dillon #3 +20000
Chris Buescher #37 +30000
Darrell Wallace Jr. #43 +33000
Matt DiBenedetto #95 +4000
Paul Menard #21 +33000
Daniel Hemric #8 +35000
Ty Dillon #13 +65000
Ryan Preece #47 +100000
David Ragan #38 +200000
Michael McDowell #34 +200000
BJ McLeod #51 +400000
Josh Bilicki #53 +400000
Bayley Currey #52 +400000
Quin Houff #77 +400000
Reed Sorenson #77 +400000
Corey LaJoie #32 +500000
Landon Cassill #00 +500000
Matt Tifft #36 +500000
Ross Chastain #15 +500000
| 2 EASY STEPS to BET on the 2019 NASCAR Odds! STEP 1: CLICK HERE to OPEN BOVADA Account STEP 2: Deposit with Credit Card or Deposit by Check and get a 100% BONUS upto $250 FREE. |