2019 Advance Auto Parts Clash Picks and Predictions – Value Bets and Top Sleepers: It has been a couple of months since we’ve had the opportunity to bet on the Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series, but the wait will come to an end this weekend with the 2019 Advance Auto Parts Clash. The preseason event is part of Speedweeks at Daytona, and while it doesn’t pay the drivers any points, it can pay you if you can pick the winner.
As with any race, there are favorites for the 75-lap exhibition event. However, there are just 20 drivers eligible for the race, so the longshots don’t have nearly as many competitors to hurdle, especially if one of the big wrecks that Daytona has become famous for happens to strike.
Looking at the board, there are actually several drivers getting longer odds that I absolutely love this weekend, and I think you have a great chance to open 2019 with a profitable win. Check out all of my favorite value bets and sleepers for the Clash at Daytona.
2019 Advance Auto Parts Clash Picks and Predictions: Value Bets and Top Sleepers
Value Bets
Kurt Busch (16/1)
He never seems to get the respect he deserves at the plate tracks, so it isn’t a huge surprise to see Busch being a little undervalued by oddsmakers this weekend. He is a former winner of both the Clash and the Daytona 500, and he ranks in the top five in driver points scored over the last 10 restrictor-plate races. Busch also owns more top-10 finishes at Daytona than any other active driver. He finished third in the Clash a year ago, and I expect him to be right back in the thick of things Sunday.
Alex Bowman (20/1)
Bowman has limited experience at the Cup level in quality equipment, but he performed well at the restrictor-plate tracks in his first full season in the No. 88, leading laps in three of the four races and picking up a pair of top-10s. He also finished third in his only previous start in the Clash back om 2017. Bowman should have a car capable running up front, and the smaller field could help him seal the deal.
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Sleeper Specials
Paul Menard (30/1)
Menard hasn’t had many appearances in the Clash, but he did finish third in his last appearance in the event in 2016. He has also been one of the steadiest performers at the restrictor-plate tracks in recent years. Menard ranks sixth in driver points scored over the last 10 plate races, and he has five top-10s and seven top-15s during that span. It’s also worth noting that Sunday will mark his first appearance in the Clash for Woods Brothers Racing, and Ford teams seem to have a leg up at the plate tracks. Menard is a great value at 30/1.
Austin Dillon (30/1)
I’m not the biggest Dillon fan, but there is no denying that he knows how to get the job done at the restrictor-plate tracks, especially Daytona. He has seven top-10s in 11 starts at the track, including his win in the Daytona 500 last year. Dillon also picked up a top-five finish in the Clash last year. Tied for the longest odds to win this weekend, he has steal written all over him.
Ryan Newman (30/1)
Although he’s never won the Clash, but I am a little surprised that he is among the drivers getting the longest odds to win. For one, he’s been solid at the restrictor-plate tracks in recent years, logging five top-10s in the last six races. He also moved to Roush Fenway Racing in the offseason, and Ford teams have dominated at the plate tracks. In fact, his new teammate, Ricky Stenhouse Jr., ranks second in points scored over the last 10 plate races. Newman should have the car to be a major player Sunday.
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