2018 XFINTIY Series Picks and Predictions – Favorites, Value Bets and Sleepers for the DC Solar 200: The NASCAR XFINITY Series heads to ISM Raceway this weekend for the DC Solar 200, and for the fourth consecutive week, we have a companion event with the Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series.
Saturday’s field is particularly loaded because both Kyle Busch and Brad Keselowski are entered, and both drivers rank in the top five in all-time series wins. Needless to say, we know who the favorites are going to be, but there are also a couple of series regulars that are worth a look.
With that in mind, check out all of my top bets for Saturday’s DC Solar 200 at ISM Raceway.
2018 XFINTIY Series Picks and Predictions: Favorites, Value Bets and Sleepers for the DC Solar 200
The Favorites
Kyle Busch (+126)
You aren’t going to win much money, but if you want to win anything this weekend, you might have to put it all on Busch. In seven XFINITY starts at ISM since 2013, he has collected six wins and a runner-up finish while leading at least 142 laps in every single race. You don’t get much more dominant than Busch has been at ISM.
Brad Keselowski (+225)
No driver has been able to keep up with Kyle Busch at ISM, but Keselowski is the clear No. 2 option in this field. He has five straight top-10s at the tracks, and he has led laps eight times in his last nine starts here. I’m not sure he can outrun Busch straight up, but I do think he will be the one waiting to strike if anything happens to Busch.
Value Bets
Christopher Bell (+696)
Bell has star written all over him, and three races into his rookie year, he already looks like the championship favorite. With plenty of Cup drivers in the field at both Atlanta and Las Vegas, Bell came away with finishes of third and second, respectively, and he led laps in both races. He also made a start at ISM last fall and notched a fourth-place finish. Bell has shown he can go toe to toe with the top names in NASCAR, and he offers a legitimate chance at a victory with some actual room for profit.
Jamie McMurray (+699)
He hasn’t made an XFINITY Series start since 2013, but McMurray is one of the most experienced drivers in the field this weekend, and he has some of the best equipment to work with. He does have a win at ISM way back in 2004, but more importantly, he has been one of the most consistent drivers at the track at the Cup level in recent years. At the very least, McMurray should be in contention if Kyle Busch and Brad Keselowski have issues, and he might be able to use pit strategy to steal a win.
Justin Allgaier (+1600)
For the money, there isn’t a better bet this weekend than Allgaier. He led 85 laps on his way to a win here last March, and in four starts at ISM with JR Motorsports, he has a 4.8 average finish and has never finished outside the top 10. Allgaier is off to a strong start in 2018, and I’m surprised he is being given such long odds despite his excellent track record here. Take advantage.
The Sleeper
Daniel Hemric (+4000)
He came out of nowhere as a rookie last year to make the Championship 4, and Hemric delivered two strong finishes at ISM. He finished seventh in his track debut in March, and he logged a top-five finish in the fall race. All the XFINITY regulars are going to find a win tough to come by this weekend, but Hemric has at least shown he can run in the top five here. If you are going to take a chance on a longshot, Hemric is by far your best bet.
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