2018 Pocono Green 250 Odds, Picks and Predictions – Favorites, Value Bets and Sleepers for the Pocono Green 250: The NASCAR XFINITY Series heads to Pocono Raceway this weekend, marking just the third in series history that XFINITY teams will try to tackle “The Tricky Triangle.” Of course, with the Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series also in town, the XFINITY regulars won’t be the only drivers in the field.
Kyle Busch headlines the list of Cup regulars who will be pulling double duty, and while the big names will definitely have the edge, there is reason to believe an upset could happen. Races at Pocono are known to be decided by pit strategy and fuel mileage, and with a new aero package being used this weekend, it could be tough for the dominant cars to pull away.
With that in mind, here is a closer look at the favorites to back as well as some underdogs to take a chance on in Saturday’s Pocono Green 250.
2018 Pocono Green 250 Odds, Picks and Predictions: Favorites, Value Bets and Sleepers for the Pocono Green 250
The Favorites
Kyle Busch (+150)
You won’t make a ton of money by betting on Busch, but if you want to win any money, you might need to take what you can get. The all-time leader in XFINITY wins is the favorite to go to victory lane whenever he gets behind the wheel in the series. He finished fourth in his only XFINITY start at Pocono, and he won the Cup Series race here last July. As by far the most accomplished driver in the field this field, it could be a walkover for Busch Saturday afternoon.
Christopher Bell (+650)
The rookie is a star in the making, and no matter how stacked the field is, he is able to run in the top five and contend for wins. Even though this will be his first XFINITY start at Pocono, I don’t expect that to change. Bell has cracked the top five in seven of the 11 races in 2018, and he picked up a win at Richmond, another track with flatter corners. If you want to back a true juggernaut but want a little more room for profit than you get with Kyle Busch, you need to back his teammate, Bell.
Value Bets
Justin Allgaier (+900)
Allgaier is on the short list of XFINITY regulars who is able to lead laps and contend for wins even when there are Cup drivers in the field. He also happens to be excellent at flat tracks. He led a bunch of laps at Phoenix earlier this year, and he led 13 laps and finished second at Pocono in 2017. Christopher Bell is the No. 1 alternative to Kyle Busch, but Allgaier isn’t far behind and will pay out more if he gets the win.
Elliott Sadler (+1650)
Don’t read too much into the fact that Sadler doesn’t have a win yet in 2018. No driver in the series has come close to matching his consistency, and through the first 11 races, he ranks first with 11 top-10s, nine top-five finishes and a 4.6 average finish. Sadler has also finished sixth and fourth in the two XFINITY races that have been held at Pocono, and the veteran’s experience at the track from his days in the Cup Series should only boost his chances. These are great odds for a driver who is pretty much a lock to be in the hunt for the win.
Chase Elliott (+2000)
I was shocked at Elliott’s odds last weekend at Charlotte, and I’m still shocked that he is being given such long odds this weekend at Pocono. He didn’t finish well in his debut for GMS Racing last weekend, but that’s because of a transmission issue. He was running in the top five prior to the mechanical troubles, and as one of the biggest names in the field this weekend, I expect him to be up front again. Throw in his success at Pocono at the Cup level, and Elliott looks like an absolute steal for Saturday’s race.
The Sleeper
Shane Lee (+25000)
Lee will be making just his third XFINITY Series start and his first start at Pocono, but these odds still seem ridiculous. These are the odds I would expect from a driver who is going to start and park with an underfunded team, but Lee is driving for Richard Childress Racing, one of the powerhouse organizations in NASCAR. He’s also finished in the top 15 in his first two XFINITY starts, so he should at least be close enough to the front to try to pull a pit strategy play to steal the win. I’d throw the minimum bet his way and hope for the upset.
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