2018 Pocono 400 Odds, Picks and Predictions – Favorites and Bad Bets for the Pocono 400: The Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series heads to Pocono Raceway this weekend, and the track nicknamed “The Tricky Triangle” is one of the unique tracks on the schedule. In addition to its triangular shape, all three of Pocono’s corners have different layouts, making it next to impossible for drivers to feel comfortable around the entire track.
If you are hoping to make some money this weekend betting on the winner of Sunday’s Pocono 400, you will probably want to back some usual suspects. Kyle Busch, Kevin Harvick and Martin Truex Jr. have the three most impressive drivers this season, and those same three drivers swept the top three spots the last time the Cup Series visited Pocono last July.
Needless to say, all three drivers are among my recommended favorites for this weekend’s race. Check out all of my top bets for the Pocono 400, along with a couple of big names I’m staying away from.
2018 Pocono 400 Odds, Picks and Predictions: Favorites and Bad Bets for the Pocono 400
Favorites to Bet
Kevin Harvick (5/2)
Don’t be fool by the fact that Harvick has never won at Pocono. He finished second in both races here a year ago and has four runner-up finishes in eight starts at the track with Stewart-Haas Racing. There’s also the fact that he already has five wins under his belt in 2018 and has the fastest car at the track almost every single week. Don’t overthink this one. Back Harvick if you want to play the smart money.
Kyle Busch (3/1)
Fresh off his annihilation of the entire field at Charlotte last weekend, Busch will look for his fifth win of 2018 this Sunday at Pocono. Coincidentally, he was celebrating in victory lane the last time the series visited the track, and Busch actually led the most laps in both races at Pocono a year ago. He is one of the safest and smartest plays on the board.
Martin Truex Jr. (6/1)
Truex has figured out the “Tricky Triangle” over the last three seasons, becoming one of the best in the sport at the track. He won the June race here in 2015, and he finished sixth and third, respectively, in the two races here last year. Truex has also led laps in four of the last six races at Pocono. He is your best bet for the win after Kevin Harvick and Kyle Busch and offers slightly more earning potential.
Brad Keselowski (10/1)
If you are looking for a little more room for profit but still want a realistic shot at the win, Keselowski offers some great value. He is a former winner at Pocono, and he has finished in the top five in five straight races here, the longest active streak in the series. Keselowski should be in the mix for the win Sunday afternoon.
Bad Bets
Denny Hamlin (10/1)
He is a four-time winner at Pocono, but while Hamlin was dominant at the track early in his career, he’s just been good here recently. He only has one Top 5 in his last seven starts here, and he has only led double-digit laps in one of his last 11 starts, failing to lead any laps six times in that span. His odds are pumped up by his four career wins at Pocono, but Hamlin just isn’t that driver any more.
Ryan Blaney (10/1)
I know he is the defending winner of this weekend’s race, but the victory was Blaney’s only Top 5 in four career starts at Pocono. Yes, he has brought fast cars to the track on a weekly basis this year, but he has also been one of the more boom-or-bust bets. For the same odds, I’d much rather have the consistency of Brad Keselowski or drop down and take a chance on some of the more appealing longshots.
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