2018 Overton’s 400 Odds, Picks and Predictions – Top Sleeper Bets for the Overton’s 400: The Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series makes a stop at Chicagoland Speedway this weekend. Sunday’s Overton’s 400 is the sixth race of the year at a 1.5-mile track, and if history has taught us anything, it is that there typically aren’t too many surprise winners at mile-and-a-half tracks like Chicagoland.
While you may not want to go crazy betting on longshots for Sunday’s race, that doesn’t mean you can’t find some great value bets. Yes, the 1.5-mile ovals tend to favor big names, but they also favor all the drivers who compete for the top teams. You can usually find appealing value bets among the teammates of the favorites, and Sunday’s race is no exception.
Kevin Harvick and Kyle Busch have been the two drivers to beat at the mile-and-a-half tracks this year, but both drivers have three teammates who have the same equipment and access to their setup information. Their teammates also have much longer odds to win, which would mean more money in your bank account if they come through.
Check out all my top sleeper bets for Sunday’s Overton’s 400 at Chicagoland Speedway.
2018 Overton’s 400 Odds, Picks and Predictions: Top Sleeper Bets for the Overton’s 400
Top Sleepers
Clint Bowyer (20/1)
His record at Chicagoland doesn’t jump off the page, but have you seen what Bowyer has been up to this year? He’s already won multiple races, and he runs inside the top 10 just about every week. Top to bottom, Stewart-Haas Racing has been the best organization this year, and that speed has really shown through at the 1.5-mile tracks like Chicagoland. It’s really just about value with Bowyer, and being able to back a borderline top-five driver at 20/1 odds is a pretty good value.
Erik Jones (20/1)
He is still looking for a Cup Series win, but Jones has been at his best at the 1.5-mile tracks this year. He has finished 11th or better in four of his five starts, leading 64 laps at Texas. Don’t forget that the powerhouse teams tend to dominate at mile-and-a-half ovals like Chicagoland, s driving for a premier team like Joe Gibbs Racing only bolsters his chances. The sophomore could break through and reach victory lane this weekend and deliver a sizeable payout in the process.
Chase Elliott (25/1)
The best value on the board this weekend is easily Elliott. While the Chevrolet teams have been a little down on speed at the 1.5-mile tracks early in the year, he has still finished 12th or better in four of the five races. More importantly, he has been excellent at Chicagoland. He won his first XFINITY start at the track, and Elliott has finished third and second, respectively, in two Cup Series starts here, leading more than 40 laps in both. After leading laps and nearly winning in both of his Cup starts at Chicagoland, I’d bet aggressively on Elliott this weekend.
Jamie McMurray (100/1)
I know he doesn’t win a lot, but at 100/1, McMurray is being placed alongside drivers who have never won at the Cup level and guys with mediocre equipment. He has a solid resume at Chicagoland, including three finishes of 11th or better in his last four starts. Yes, he has been hit or miss at the 1.5-mile tracks this year, but his third-place run at Texas and sixth-place effort at Charlotte showcase his upside. If I am taking a flier on a serious longshot, I’m going to roll the dice on McMurray. He’s really a no-brainer among the drivers getting similar odds.
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