2018 Hollywood Casino 400 Odds, Picks and Predictions – Favorites and Bad Bets for the Hollywood Casino 400: The Round of 12 of the Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series playoffs comes to an end this weekend at Kansas Speedway. The 1.5-mile oval will play host to Sunday’s Hollywood Casino 400, and while the stakes are much higher than they were when the series visited the track back in May, that doesn’t necessarily mean you need to change your betting strategy.
Tracks like Kansas with a mile-and-a-half layout tend to be some of the most predictable, and this year, the trio of drivers nicknamed the Big 3 have dominated these tracks. Kevin Harvick, Kyle Busch and Martin Truex Jr. have combined to win seven of the eight races at 1.5-mile ovals in 2018, so when you start placing bets, you will want to make sure you have plenty of money riding on the big names.
2018 Hollywood Casino 400 Odds, Picks and Predictions: Favorites and Bad Bets for the Hollywood Casino 400
Favorites to Bet
Kevin Harvick (3/1)
Harvick has been the best in the business at the mile-and-a-half tracks this year, winning three times and leading the most laps of any driver in the eight races. One of those wins came at Kansas back in May, and over the last 10 races here, Harvick has seven finishes off third or better, winning three times and leading a series-high 592 laps. If you are putting a lot of money on a heavy favorite, Harvick is your smartest play.
Martin Truex Jr. (9/2)
Truex was dominant at Kansas last year, sweeping both races at leading more than 90 laps in each. He just missed out on a three-peat with a runner up effort here back in the spring, and he has been a force at the 1.5-mile tracks, logging a series-best seven Top 5s in the eight races this year. Truex is basically a lock to be in the mix for the win this weekend.
Kyle Busch (8/1)
I was surprised to see Busch at 8/1 this weekend because that’s pretty good room for profit for a proven stud. He is the only driver who has finished in the Top 10 in all eight races at 1.5-mile tracks this year, and his three wins in those races are tied for the most. Busch also has seven straight Top 10s at Kansas, picking up one win and five Top 5s.
Ryan Blaney (12/1)
If you want to stray away from the Big 3 this weekend, Blaney is one of my favorite alternatives among the favorites. He has four Top 10s in seven Cup starts at Kansas, and he cracked the Top 5 in both races here a year ago. Blaney has led laps in three straight races here, leading more than 50 laps at Kansas back in May before he and Kyle Larson got together battling for the win. He has shown he can run up front at this track.
Bad Bets
Denny Hamlin (3/1)
There is a good chance this is a typo on the part of the oddsmakers because having Hamlin listed as the co-favorite for Sunday’s race is beyond ridiculous. Yes, he has back-to-back Top 5s at Kansas, but his only win here came in 2012, and he hasn’t won a race at any 1.5-mile track since 2015. Throw in the fact that he has been inconsistent and mistake-prone all year, and betting on Hamlin would be a total waste of money.
Kyle Larson (4/1)
Larson has been solid at the 1.5-mile tracks this year, logging seven Top 10s and four Top 5s in the eight races. He also had a great run at Kansas back in May, leading a race-high 101 laps. That being said, we are still talking about a guy who has never won a Cup race at a mile-and-a-half track, but he has better odds to win than Martin Truex Jr. and Kyle Busch. It makes absolutely no sense to back Larson at 4/1.
Nascar Hollywood Casino 400 Odds – Race Winner
Driver To Win
Kevin Harvick +250
Kyle Larson +500
Martin Truex Jr +600
Kyle Busch +600
Brad Keselowski +600
Ryan Blaney +1000
Joey Logano +1000
Chase Elliott +3000
Clint Bowyer +2200
Kurt Busch +2500
Erik Jones +2500
Aric Almirola +2500
Denny Hamlin +3000
Jimmie Johnson +6000
Daniel Suarez +8000
Alex Bowman +8000
Ryan Newman +20000
Jamie McMurray +20000
Paul Menard +15000
Austin Dillon +10000
Field +3500
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