2018 FireKeepers Casino 400 Odds, Picks and Predictions – Favorites and Bad Bets for the FireKeepers Casino 400: The Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series rolls on this weekend with the first of two visits to Michigan International Speedway. The D-shaped oval is known for its high speeds and wide racing surface, and it is one of just two tracks on the schedule with a two-mile layout, joining Auto Club Speedway.
Given its long straightaways and wide surface, it is no surprise that having as much horsepower as possible is a huge advantage at Michigan. It is also not surprising that the top teams in NASCAR tend to have the most muscle under the hood, and big names tend to rule at MIS.
With that in mind, you will probably want to concentrate a majority of your betting dollars on the household names this weekend, and here is a closer look at the favorites I’ll be backing in Sunday’s FireKeepers Casino 400 at Michigan.
2018 FireKeepers Casino 400 Odds, Picks and Predictions: Favorites and Bad Bets for the FireKeepers Casino 400
Favorites to Bet
Kevin Harvick (5/2)
Week in and week out, Harvick brings one of the fastest cars to the track. He leads the series with five wins and has led the most laps of any driver, and there is no reason to expect that to change at Michigan. Over the last 10 races here, he leads all drivers with seven top-five finishes, and he has finished second five times during that stretch. Your best bet at winning money Sunday is once again Harvick.
Kyle Busch (9/2)
He’s got four wins under his belt already, and Busch’s excellent 2018 season shouldn’t slow down this weekend at Michigan. He led double-digit laps in both races at the track last year, and he led 62 laps and finished third at Auto Club back in March. For his career, Busch owns four total Cup wins at two-mile tracks.
Martin Truex Jr. (5/1)
Truex has been the king of the high-horsepower tracks this year, leading the most laps at winning at Auto Club in March and winning at Pocono last weekend. He was also excellent at Michigan last year, finishing sixth and second and leading 50-plus lap in both events. Considering how dominant he was at Auto Club, I think it bodes well for his chances at taking down the other two-mile track on the schedule this weekend.
Kyle Larson (5/1)
He is still looking for a win in 2018, but Larson has been the best in the business at the two-mile tracks for the last couple of seasons. He has finished third or better in each of the last six races two-mile ovals, winning the last three races at Michigan and finishing second at Auto Club back in March. A Michigan four-peat could be on tap for Larson Sunday, and a decent payout could be on tap for those who back him.
Bad Bets
Chase Elliott (15/1)
His record at Michigan speaks for itself, and in four career Cup starts here, Elliott has a 3.5 average finish and three second-place efforts. However, the Chevrolet teams just haven’t shown elite speed this year, and while it seems they are trending in the right direction, Kyle Larson appears to be the only Chevy driver who can hang with Ford and Toyota juggernauts. Throw in the fact that Elliott finished a disappointing 16th at Michigan’s sister track, Auto Club Speedway, back in March, and I think he is a little overvalued this weekend.
Ryan Blaney (12/1)
I know Blaney has been fast and has led plenty of laps this year, but he still hasn’t won a race and hasn’t been particularly consistent at Michigan. Earlier this year, he ran eighth at Auto Club, the sister track to Michigan, so I think he is more of a top-10 option rather than a potential winner. I’d rather have his teammate, Brad Keselowski, for the same odds or his other teammate, Joey Logano at 15/1.
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