2018 Coca-Cola 600 Odds, Picks and Predictions – Favorites and Bad Bets for the Coca-Cola 600: The Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series is back at Charlotte Motor Speedway this weekend, but after using modified rules and an experimental aero package for last weekend’s All-Star Race at the track, it will be back to business as usual for this weekend’s Coca-Cola 600.
Sunday night’s race is the longest on the schedule, and while the marathon-style event can push drivers, crews and equipment to their limits, there is still a good chance that a big name will emerge with the win. After all, Charlotte is a 1.5-mile oval, and the mile-and-a-half tracks tend to be kind to the powerhouse teams.
With that in mind, here is a closer look at my top betting options among the favorites for this weekend’s Coca-Cola 600 at Charlotte.
2018 Coca-Cola 600 Odds, Picks and Predictions: Favorites and Bad Bets for the Coca-Cola 600
Favorites to Bet
Kevin Harvick (5/2)
There is no such thing as a sure thing when betting NASCAR, but Harvick is as close to a lock as we have seen in quite some time. He already has five wins under his belt in 2018, and in the four races at 1.5-mile ovals, he has three wins and a second-place finish. Harvick has also been excellent at Charlotte throughout his career, winning three times and logging a series-best nine top-10s in the last 10 races here. The smart money is on Harvick this weekend.
Martin Truex Jr. (5/1)
Truex isn’t piling up wins at the 1.5-mile ovals like he did last year, but he’s still been one of the best in the series. He has three top-five finishes in the first four races, including his runner-up finish at Kansas a couple of weeks ago. Truex has also been a stud at Charlotte the last few years, notching five top-five finishes in the last six races and picking up a pair of wins in that span. After Kevin Harvick, Truex is your safest bet Sunday night.
Denny Hamlin (15/1)
He can be more of an all-or-nothing bet sometimes, but there is decent room for profit with Hamlin this weekend, and Charlotte happens to be one of his best tracks. He has eight top-10s in the last 10 races here, and he has four top-five finishes in the last five races. Hamlin has also led double-digit laps in the last three races at Charlotte, leading more than 40 laps twice in that span. He could be a nice value bet this weekend.
Joey Logano (15/1)
His record at Charlotte has been a bit up and down, but Logano is a former winner here, and he has been excellent throughout the 2018 season. He has posted 10 top-10 finishes in the first 12 races of the year, compiling an impressive 5.5 average finish in the four races at mile-and-a-half tracks. These are bettor-friendly odds for a driver who seems to be in contention every single week.
Bad Bets
Kyle Busch (5/1)
I certainly wouldn’t be surprised to see Busch visit victory lane this weekend, but when looking at the top-three betting options, he has the most red flags. Luck just hasn’t been on his side here, and Busch is still looking for his first career Cup win at Charlotte. Yes, he has led a lot of laps, but something always seems to go wrong, and Busch has finished outside the top 10 in four of the last six races here. If I am fading one of the favorites, it is going to be Busch.
Kyle Larson (8/1)
Larson has been one of the few Chevrolet drivers who has been competitive at the 1.5-mile tracks this year, but he is still looking for his first career win at a mile-and-a-half track. On top of that, Charlotte doesn’t exactly rank as his best track. In nine starts, he has three top-10s and just one top-five finish to go along with an 18.7 average finish. He’s also led just 20 laps here. There are several drivers getting longer odds who I would rather back this weekend.
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