2018 Big Machine Vodka 400 Odds, Picks and Predictions – Favorites and Bad Bets for the Big Machine Vodka 400 at the Brickyard: The Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series returns to historic Indianapolis Motor Speedway this weekend for the Big Machine Vodka 400 at the Brickyard, and fitting to a track that has hosted many legends of motorsports, the list of Cup Series winners at the track is littered with current and future Hall of Famers.
All told, 19 of the 24 Cup races at Indianapolis have been won by drivers who have also won a Cup Series crown, and only two drivers with wins at Indy have fewer than 18 career wins. Needless to say, you might not want to stray too far from the household names when placing your bets. Check out my top options for Sunday’s Big Machine Vodka 400 at the Brickyard.
2018 Big Machine Vodka 400 Odds, Picks and Predictions: Favorites and Bad Bets for the Big Machine Vodka 400 at the Brickyard
Favorites to Bet
Kyle Busch (5/2)
Although he has the same odds as Kevin Harvick, I actually think Busch is the smartest bet on the board this weekend. He has been a dominant force at Indianapolis the last several years, finishing either first or second in four of the last six races. Busch won here in 2015 and 2016, and he led a race-high 87 laps last year before being taken out while leading on a late restart. Look for Busch to go to victory lane for the third time in the last four years at Indy this weekend.
Kevin Harvick (5/2)
Harvick has been in the mix for wins in just about every race this season, and he has already sealed the deal seven times. He is also a former winner at the Brickyard, and he has finished in the top 10 in all four of his starts at the track since joining Stewart-Haas Racing. Harvick is pretty much a lock to have a shot at the win Sunday.
Brad Keselowski (10/1)
He is coming off a win at Darlington, and Keselowski always seems to be in contention at Indianapolis. Granted, he only has one top-five finish in eight starts at the track, but he has led laps in six of those races, leading at least 15 laps here in each of the past three seasons. With a little momentum in his corner and a history of running up front, I like Keselowski if you are looking for a little more room for profit than what the two co-favorites offer.
Joey Logano (16/1)
Logano has flipped a switch at Indianapolis since joining Team Penske, cracking the top 10 in all five of his starts at the track while compiling a 5.2 average finish. Logano has three top-five finishes during that stretch, and he has led laps in four of those five starts. His 16/1 odds seem pretty friendly for a driver who is always in the mix at Indy.
Bad Bets
Kyle Larson (6/1)
I love Kyle Larson as a driver, but I don’t love him at 6/1 odds this weekend. Yes, he has been good at Indianapolis, finishing in the top 10 in three of his four starts and notching a top-five finish in 2017. On the flip side, he has never led a lap at the track, and he still hasn’t been able to win a race in 2018. In fact, Larson has only won three stages all year. I’d rather just back Kyle Busch or Kevin Harvick or take a shot on a dark horse.
Ryan Blaney (16/1)
Blaney has been one of the faster drivers week in and week out this year, but he has also been one of the most inconsistent. In three starts at Indianapolis, he has a 23.7 average finish, finishing outside the top 10 in all three races and crashing out twice. I think Blaney will have top-five potential this weekend, but there are other drivers getting similar odds who I have a lot more confidence in.
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