2018 Bass Pro Shops NRA Night Race Odds, Picks and Predictions – Favorites and Bad Bets for the Bass Pro Shops NRA Night Race: Short track racing returns this weekend when the Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series heads back to Bristol Motor Speedway. The half-mile, high-banked oval will host Saturday’s Bass Pro Shops NRA Night Race, and while short tracks can shake up the driver hierarchy a bit, you will still find a couple of familiar names among the betting favorites this weekend.
Yes, there will probably be some surprises among the top-10 finishers, but there is still a good chance that one of the weekly frontrunners will visit victory lane again this weekend. With that in mind, let’s check out my top bets among this weekend’s favorites, along with a couple of big names who I’d recommend avoiding in the Bass Pro Shops NRA Night Race at Bristol.
2018 Bass Pro Shops NRA Night Race Odds, Picks and Predictions: Favorites and Bad Bets for the Bass Pro Shops NRA Night Race
Favorites to Bet
Kyle Busch (3/1)
Busch has been absolutely dominant at Bristol throughout his career. He is a seven-time winner here, and he is going for a three-peat after winning the night race last year and the spring race earlier this year. Busch has also led more than 2,000 laps here overall, leading more than 100 laps in four of the last six races. Throw in the fact that Busch has been head and shoulders above any driver not named Kevin Harvick this year, and he is a no-brainer favorite at one of his best tracks.
Kyle Larson (4/1)
He has been knocking on the door of a win at Bristol ever since he joined the Cup Series, and Larson has been particularly stout recently. He has led at least 70 laps in each of the last three races, leading at least 200 laps in two of those. Larson was the runner-up at Bristol back in the spring, and I expect him to be one of the top contenders again Saturday night.
Erik Jones (14/1)
The sample size is small, but Jones has shown top-five speed in all three of his Cup starts at Bristol. More importantly, he had one of the dominant cars in the night race here a year ago. Jones led a race-high 260 laps before settling for a second-place finish after an intense battle with the current Bristol king, Kyle Busch.
Ryan Blaney (14/1)
Among the betting favorites, Blaney looks like the best value on the board. Yes, he finished 35th in the spring race at Bristol earlier this year, but he probably had the best car in that race. Blaney led 100 of the first 117 laps, but he was taken out when a couple of lap cars crashed in front of him. He looked well on his way to contending for the win here in April, and at 14/1, I’m willing to see if he can finish what he started and pick up the win this weekend.
Bad Bets
Martin Truex Jr. (10/1)
Truex has been one of top drivers in the series all year, but he just doesn’t have a great feel for Bristol. He has just a single top-10 finish over the last 10 races here, and his last top-five run at the track came in 2012. Truex can barely sniff a decent finish at this place, let a lone a win. Yes, he has been one of the title frontrunners all year, but he doesn’t deserve to be ranked among the favorites this weekend. Don’t waste your money.
Brad Keselowski (12/1)
He has a couple of wins under his belt at Bristol, but Keselowski has been mired in a terrible slump at the track. He has finished outside the top 15 in each of his last five starts here, finishing 23rd or worse in four straight. Keselowski has been hit and miss at Bristol throughout his career, and I can’t see rolling the dice on him at 12/1 odds when he is in the middle of his worst stretch at the track.
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