2018 Bar Harbor 200 Odds, Picks and Predictions – Bar Harbor 200 Favorites, Dark Horses and Sleepers: The NASCAR XFINITY Series heads to Dover International Speedway this weekend for the second race of the year at “The Monster Mile.” Saturday’s Bar Harbor 200 is also the final race of the opening round of the playoffs, so you can expect a little extra intensity as the drivers near the elimination line fight to keep their title hopes alive.
With the playoffs in full swing, it also means that no Cup Series regulars are allowed to participate in the race. This naturally makes things a little more wide open, but there are still a small group of XFINITY regulars who have stood out form the pack.
Check out my top options and my favorite value bets for the XFINITY Series Bar Harbor 200 at Dover.
2018 Bar Harbor 200 Odds, Picks and Predictions: Bar Harbor 200 Favorites, Dark Horses and Sleepers
The Favorites
Christopher Bell (11/4)
He’s been one of the best drivers in the series all year, and Bell’s five victories are tied for the most in the series. His only XFINITY start at Dover came earlier this year, and although an inspection problem in qualifying forced him to start 34th, he still rallied for a fourth-place finish. Bell has shown all year that he can win on any type of track, and Dover is no exception. You can’t go wrong backing him this weekend.
Justin Allgaier (7/2)
Allgaier is in the middle of a career year, and he already has five wins under his belt, including a dominating victory in the spring race at Dover when he led more than half the laps. In five starts at the track with JR Motorsports, he has a 4.2 average finish and four top-five finishes, so he is in the mix for the win whenever he visits Dover. Expect more of the same this weekend, and Allgaier is a safe place to put your money this weekend.
Value Bets
Ryan Preece (7/1)
He has made a couple of starts at Dover in the XFINITY Series, but neither of them came in a quality car. That will change this weekend when he makes his first start at the track for Joe Gibbs Racing. In 14 previous starts with JGR in the XFINITY Series, he has two wins, nine Top 5s and 11 Top 10s, and he has also led laps in six of those races. With equipment capable of showcasing his talent, Preece becomes one of the favorites at any track on the schedule. He’s one of the top alternatives if you want to fade the betting favorites.
Daniel Hemric (8/1)
Hemric has been knocking on the door of a win all year, and I don’t expect that to change this weekend at Dover. He has compiled a 6.7 average finish in three career starts here, finishing fourth at the track last fall and third in the spring race earlier this year. After fighting for the win in each of the last two races at Dover, Hemric should give you a great chance at the win and more room for profit than you will get with the heavy favorites.
Tyler Reddick (14/1)
Qualifying inspection issues forced him to start way back in 33rd in the spring race at Dover, which makes it even more impressive that Reddick led 23 laps and finished in the top five. All the JR Motorsports cars were fast in that race, and if Reddick can have a normal qualifying run this time around, he might have enough left at the end to secure the win. At 14/1, I think it’s worth finding out.
The Sleeper
Matt Tifft (33/1)
The sample size isn’t huge, but Tifft has had nothing but success at Dover so far in his career. He has made four XFINITY starts at the track for two different teams, and he has finished in the top 10 in all four of them. His consistency stacks up with just about any driver in the field, and Dover is the type of track where a driver can get out in front and hold off faster cars for a while. Tifft should at least be in position to have a puncher’s chance at pulling off the upset, and it is a chance I’m willing to take at 33/1 odds.
Xfinity Bar Harbor 200 Odds – Race Winner
Christopher Bell +300
Justin Allgaier +350
Cole Custer +500
Elliott Sadler +700
Ryan Preece +700
Daniel Hemric +900
John Hunter Nemechek +1000
Ty Reddick +1500
Brandon Jones +2500
Austin Cindric +2500
Matt Tifft +3000
Spencer Ghallagher +4000
Ryan Truex +4000
Field +2000
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