2018 Bank of America Roval 400 Free Picks and Predictions – Value Bets and Top Sleepers for the Bank of America Roval 400: The Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series will make its inaugural visit to the Charlotte Motor Speedway road course this weekend, and Sunday’s Bank of America Roval 400 has the potential to be one of the most surprising races of the 2018 races.
The track itself will be a challenge in more ways than one. The Roval packs 17 turns into its 2.28-mile layout, and since it also uses stretches of the Charlotte oval, drivers are going to carry a ton of speed into certain sections. Throw in a surface that drivers say lacks decent grip and the lack of run-off areas, and it is going to be really easy to get in a lot of trouble this weekend.
Some drivers are even predicting that the winner might be the last driver still running at the finish, and from a betting standpoint, the potential for a crash-filled, chaotic even means an opportunity to cash in. If big names start crashing out left and right, the door is going to be wide open for a surprise winner.
Check out my favorite value bets and potential longshots to take a chance on for Sunday’s Bank of America Roval 400.
2018 Bank of America Roval 400 Free Picks and Predictions: Value Bets and Top Sleepers for the Bank of America Roval 400
Value Bets
Kurt Busch (16/1)
While Busch doesn’t have a bunch of road course wins, I was still surprised to see him getting such long odds. After all, no driver has been more dependable at the road courses recently, and over the last 10 road races, his eight top-10s are tied for the most of any driver. Busch hasn’t finished worse than 12th in that same span, and his 7.1 average finish is the best in the series. His steady results should be even more valuable in a race that is expected to see plenty of wrecks, and Busch gives you the opportunity to have exposure to a driver who is likely going to be in contention for the win while still having some room for profit.
A.J. Allmendinger (22/1)
There is never much middle ground at the road courses with Allmendinger, but when he doesn’t wreck trying to get to the front, he is usually fighting for the win. He is a former winner at Watkins Glen, and over the last 10 road races, his 115 laps led are the second most of any driver. Given everyone’s lack of experience on the Roval, Allmendinger’s road racing expertise could give him even more of an edge than usual this weekend. If he can keep the car on the track, he could end up in victory lane. I’ll gamble on his upside at 22/1.
Erik Jones (25/1)
I know he doesn’t have a lot of experience, but you can’t deny that Jones has delivered excellent results in his limited road course action. He has three top-10s in four road races, including finishes of seventh and fifth this season. Jones probably needs to win this weekend at advance in the playoffs, so you already know he will have a checkers-or-wreckers attitude. He’s an appealing option at 25/1.
Chris Buescher (100/1)
There is something to be said about learning from a veteran, and since Buescher became teammates with road racing ace A.J. Allmendinger, he has seen a notable jump in performance at the road courses. Buescher has cracked the top 20 in all four road races with JTG Daugherty Racing, finishing 12th or better twice. He hasn’t been a legitimate contender for a win yet, but he should be within striking distance if chaos erupts as many are predicting.
Alex Bowman (100/1)
His overall numbers at road courses certainly won’t impress anyone, but Bowman hasn’t been in decent equipment until this season. In his two road course starts in the Hendrick Motorsports No. 88, he has a pair of top-15s, including a top-10 effort at Sonoma. At the very least, he has a shot at another top-10, and if the race is as wild as expected, he could find himself in the hunt for the win. He’s not a bad gamble at 100/1.
Sleeper Special
Daniel Hemric (1000/1)
Making just his second Cup start, a Hemric win this weekend would be an epic upset. However, he has been excellent in his road course starts at the XFINITY level, and he will essentially be driving Richard Childress Racing equipment. The rest of the drivers getting similar odds are in equipment that will be lucky to even make it to the finish, let alone be capable of turning competitive laps. If I’m throwing a Hail Mary this weekend, I’m putting a few bucks on Hemric.
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