2017 XFINITY Series Overton’s 200 Odds – Favorites, Dark Horses and Sleepers: The XFINITY Series heads to New Hampshire Motor Speedway this weekend for its only trip to “The Magic Mile” in 2017. The Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series will make a return trip in September, but in the meantime, we have a companion event to deal this weekend.
As is usually the case with companion races, there are a few Cup regulars who will be pulling double duty and racing in Saturday’s Overton’s 200. For the most part, the Cup drivers have had a strangehold on victory lane in the XFINITY Series, and I don’t expect that to change at NHMS. If your betting, I’d recommend putting most of your money on the drivers listed among my favorites.
Of course, anything can happen, and pit strategy has been known to play a big role at New Hampshire. With that in mind, I’ve included a few potential sleepers you may want to throw a dart at Saturday. However, I don’t expect things to get to cray this weekend.
2017 XFINITY Series Overton’s 200 Odds & Predictions – Favorites, Dark Horses & Sleepers
The Favorites
He is the defending winner of this weekend’s race, and Kyle Busch has won at New Hampshire a record five times in the XFINITY Series. In fact, he has eight top-five finishes in his last nine starts at the track, and all five wins have come during that span.
In eight career XFINITY starts at New Hampshire, Brad Keselowski has never finished outside the top 10. He owns a series-leading 3.9 average finish at the track overall, and he has four straight finishes of third or better here, picking up a pair of wins. Keselowski is one of two drivers in the field this weekend with multiple wins at NHMS.
His best finish at New Hampshire in the XFINITY Series is fourth in two tries, but since his last start in 2014, Kyle Larson has become pretty good at this whole NASCAR thing. He enters this weekend as the point leader in the Cup Series, and he has a 2.6 average finish and three wins in seven XFINITY starts this season.
The Dark Horses
Nothing is a guarantee in NASCAR, but William Byron sure seems destined to be a star. He leads all XFINITY regulars with two wins, and he has climbed to second in the season standings thanks to a great stretch of racing. He has reeled of seven straight top-15s, and he has a 2.8 average finish in his last four starts. Byron will be making his first XFINITY start at New Hampshire this weekend, but his inexperience hasn’t stopped him yet.
The top XFINITY regular haven’t exactly dominated at New Hampshire, but Justin Allgaier has been consistent at the track. He has a 9.5 average finish in six starts and has never finished outside the top 15. More importantly, Allgaier has four top-10s here, including a seventh-place run last year. He is at least a safe bet to be within striking distance.
His numbers at New Hampshire are good but not great, but Elliott Sadler has been the model of consistency all year. He enters Saturday’s race as the point leader, and he has finished outside the top 12 only twice all season. The veteran is by far the most experienced series regular, and he should put himself close enough to the front to have a puncher’s chance.
The Sleeper
He doesn’t get a lot of hype, but Brennan Poole has quietly climbed to fifth in the series standings, and he has been impressive at New Hampshire in his brief career. Poole has cracked the top 10 in both of his starts here, finishing sixth in last year’s race. All five drivers who finished ahead of him are now full-timers in the Cup Series, and only two of them will be in the field this weekend. This could be Poole’s chance to make a name for himself.
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2017 Overtons 200 Odds
Kyle Busch +175
Brad Keselowski +250
Kyle Larson +300
William Byron +800
Elliott Sadler +1200
Justin Allgaier +1500
Ty Dillon +2500
Cole Custer +3000
Matt Tifft +3000
Daniel Hemric +4000
Ben Kennedy +4000
Brennan Poole +4000
Brendan Gaughan +5000
Brandon Jones +6000
Field +1500
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