2017 Quaker State 400 Odds, Free Picks and Predictions – Favorites to Win Quaker State 400: 2017 Quaker State 400 Odds, Free Picks and Predictions: Favorites to Win Quaker State 400After a wild-card race at Daytona last weekend, the Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series gets back to its bread and butter with a trip to Kentucky Speedway. Saturday night’s Quaker State 400 will already be the sixth race of the season at a 1.5-mile oval, and we are just hitting the halfway point of the season.
Kentucky is actually the newest addition to the Cup Series schedule, and while Saturday’s race will be just the seventh event held at the track, the fact that it has the most common layout on the schedule greatly reduces the learning curve for drivers and race teams.
With that in mind, let’s take a closer look at the frontrunners and top contenders for the win in Saturday’s Quaker State 400 at Kentucky Speedway.
2017 Quaker State 400 Odds, Free Picks and Predictions: Favorites to Win Quaker State 400
The Favorites
Top say that Brad Keselowski has performed well at Kentucky would be a bit of an understatement. The defending race winner has won three of the six Cup races held at the track, leading a series-high 483 laps and leading more than 60 laps in five of the six races. He has this place figured out.
The other driver with multiple wins at Kentucky Speedway is Kyle Busch. In addition to his two wins, he leads all drivers with five top-five finishes at the track, and his 5.2 average finish here is tied for the best in the series. His 437 laps led at Kentucky rank second, and Busch has led more than 100 laps in three of the six races.
Fuel mileage cost him a golden opportunity at a win at Kentucky last year, but Martin Truex Jr. has been the best driver at 1.5-mile ovals in 2017. He has finished in the top 10 in all five races at mile-and-a-half tracks this year, winning twice and compiling a series-best 4.2 average finish. Truex has also led the most laps of any driver at the 1.5-mile tracks. He should feel right at home at Kentucky.
The Contenders
Although he doesn’t have a win at Kentucky, Kevin Harvick came close last year, leading a race-high 128 laps before coming up on the short end of the fuel mileage game. This season, he has been one of the best in the sport at the 1.5-mile ovals, logging four top-10s in five starts and leading the second-most laps.
Kentucky is one of the few tracks where seven-time champ Jimmie Johnson hasn’t won a race, but that doesn’t mean he has struggled here. He has notched five top-10s in six starts, and he has led the third-most laps of any driver at the track. Johnson’s three wins this year are also the most in the series, so he is capable of winning at any track.
There have been six Cup races held at Kentucky, and Matt Kenseth is the only driver who has finished in the top 10 in all six of them. His 5.2 average finish at the track is tied for the best in the series, and he has three top-five finishes in his last four starts here, including a win in 2013.
While he has had some bad luck at Kentucky in his first three starts, Kyle Larson enters this weekend’s race as the point leader, and he is running better than he ever has as a Cup driver. He has been particularly impressive at the 1.5-mile ovals, finishing sixth or better in four of the five races at mile-and-a-half tracks and notching three runner-up finishes.
Since joining Team Penkse, Joey Logano has been locked in at Kentucky. He has three top-10s in four starts with the organization, finishing as high as second. He also has a strong history of success at the track in other series, winning three of his four XFINITY starts here. It seems like only a matter of time before he picks up a Cup win at Kentucky.
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