2017 Federated Auto Parts 400 Odds & Predictions – Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series Odds: The 2017 Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series heads to Richmond International Raceway this weekend for Saturday night’s Federated Auto Parts 400. The second race of the year at the 0.75-mile short track will also be the final race of the regular season, any driver currently on the outside of the playoff picture will have one final chance to grab a win and secure a spot.
As it stands, there are currently 13 drivers locked in the 16-driver playoff field, and Matt Kenseth, Chase Elliott and Jamie McMurray would make the playoffs based on points. However, there are some quality drivers like Joey Logano, Clint Bowyer and Erik Jones who are lurking outside the cut line who are good enough to win Saturday night.
If any driver currently without a win ends up in victory lane at Richmond, it will shake up the playoff picture. Don’t be surprised if crew chiefs employ some unique strategies to try to steal win. Let’s check out the frontrunners and top contenders for the regular season finale.
2017 Federated Auto Parts 400 Odds & Predictions – Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series Odds
The Favorites
He is coming off a win at Darlington, and Denny Hamlin could make it back-to-back victories this weekend. After all, he is the defending winner of this weekend’s race and a three-time winner at the track overall. Hamlin has finished sixth or better in his last four starts, posting a 4.0 average finish.
Among active drivers, no driver has more wins at Richmond than Kyle Busch. In addition to his four wins at the track, he has 15 Top 5s in 25 starts and has led more than 1,000 laps. Busch has four Top 10s in his last six races at RIR, including three finishes of third or better.
Over the last 10 races at Richmond, Kevin Harvick leads all drivers with a 6.9 average finish. He has cracked the Top 15 in every race during that stretch, and he has five Top 5s in the last six races here, including three straight.
He seems to be in the mix for the win every week and every track, and Martin Truex Jr. should be back in contention this weekend. He has four Top 10s in his last five starts at Richmond, including three straight, and in the September race last season, he led a race-high 193 laps on his way to a third-place finish.
The Contenders
He actually won the spring race at Richmond, but violations found after the race prevented the win from counting towards Joey Logano’s eligibility to the playoffs. He has struggled since the race, but a return trip to the short track could be just what the doctor ordered. Logano has seven straight Top 10s at RIR, and he has two wins during that span.
In the last 10 races at Richmond, no driver has led more laps than Brad Keselowski, and he has the third-best average finish during the same stretch. Keselowski finished fourth at the track last September, and he led 110 laps on his way to a runner-up finish in the spring.
Bad luck cost him a shot at the win in the spring race at Richmond, but Matt Kenseth still managed to lead a race-high 164 laps. He has led the second-most laps of any driver in the last 10 races at the track, and he has seven finishes of seventh or better in the same span, including a win.
He was in the mix for the win at Darlington last weekend, and Kurt Busch tends to do his best work at short tracks. He has six straight Top 15s at Richmond, including three straight Top 10s, and he delivered a dominating win in the spring race in 2015.
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2017 Federated Auto Parts 400 – Odds to Win @ Richmond Speedway
Kyle Busch #18 +425
Martin Truex, Jr. #78 +425
Denny Hamlin #11 +500
Matt Kenseth #20 +650
Kevin Harvick #4 +700
Kyle Larson #42 +750
Brad Keselowski #2 +900
Joey Logano #22 +900
Kurt Busch #41 +1200
Erik Jones #77 +2200
Chase Elliott #24 +2300
Jimmie Johnson #48 +2500
Clint Bowyer #14 +2500
Jamie McMurray #1 +3500
Ryan Blaney #21 +4500
Dale Earnhardt, Jr. #88 +6600
Ricky Stenhouse, Jr. #17 +6600
Daniel Suarez #19 +7500
Ryan Newman #31 +12500
Austin Dillon #3 +12500
Kasey Kahne #5 +15000
Paul Menard #27 +30000
Trevor Bayne #6 +30000
Aric Almirola #43 +40000
A. J. Allmendinger #47 +52500
Ty Dillon #13 +52500
Chris Buescher #37 +52500
Danica Patrick #10 +55000
David Ragan #38 +100000
Matt DiBenedetto #32 +150000
Michael McDowell #95 +200000
Landon Cassill #34 +200000
Cole Whitt #72 +250000
Corey LaJoie #83 +250000
Gray Gaulding #23 +250000
Jeffrey Earnhardt #33 +250000
Derrick Cope #15 +250000
BJ McLeod #51 +250000
Reed Sorenson #55 +250000
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