2015 Toyota/Save Mart 350 Odds, Free Picks & Predictions – Favorites and Contenders: After an off weekend for the Cup Series, the action resumes at Sonoma Raceway this weekend. Sunday’s Toyota/Save Mart 350 is the first of two road course events this season, and although the race is schedule for just 110 laps, plenty can happen as drivers try to navigate the left- and right-hand turns and elevation changes that make up the 10-turn, 1.99-mile track.
Sonoma tests a driver’s ability to hit their breaking points and shifting points, and it tests a crew chief’s ability to calculate fuel mileage and plan the pit strategy that will put their driver out front for the final run to the finish. Some of the best drivers in the series have never really mastered the art of road racing, but on the flip side, a few drivers that are average most weeks can really make some noise at Sonoma. Here is a closer look at the drivers with the best chance of ending up in victory lane this weekend.
2015 Toyota/Save Mart 350 Odds, Free Picks & Predictions: Favorites and Contenders
The Favorites
No driver has won more road course races in series history than Jeff Gordon, and he has notched a record-setting five of those wins at Sonoma. Gordon also owns a series-leading 8.0 average finish at the track, and in 22 starts, he has 18 top-10s, including nine straight. He was runner-up at Sonoma last year, and he has finished second in three of the last four races at the track.
Not only has Kurt Busch’s road course dominance stood the test of time, but it has stood the test of teams. He has driven for four different teams over the last four races at Sonoma, but he has still managed to log a 5.0 average and pick up a win. Over the last 10 races at the track, Busch also owns the top driver rating and has led more laps than any other driver.
With a lengthy background in road racing, A.J. Allmendinger has established himself as one of the top contenders whenever the series visits a road course. Last year alone, he led the most laps at both Sonoma and Watkins Glen, eventually winning the Watkins Glen race. Meanwhile, he has four top-15s in his last five starts at Sonoma, including a pair of top-10s.
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The Contenders
He has quietly emerged as one of the top road racers, and Clint Bowyer’s numbers at Sonoma rank among the best in the series. His 9.2 average finish at the track ranks second in the series, and in nine starts, he has logged seven top-10s. Bowyer has been even stronger recently, posting three top-five finishes in his last four starts, including a win in 2012.
His breakout season continues, and heading into Sunday’s race, Martin Truex Jr. has finished in the top 10 in 14 of the first 15 races of 2015. He should have no problem continuing his strong season at Sonoma, and in addition to winning at the track in dominating fashion in 2014, he ranks third in laps led over the past five races.
He is the defending winner of this weekend’s race, Carl Edwards has been one of the best in the business at road courses over the last few seasons. He has finished third or better in three of his last four starts at Sonoma, and his five top-five finishes at road course events over the last four seasons lead all drivers.
Although he is typically at his best at the intermediate ovals, Kasey Kahne has had plenty of success at Sonoma. He came out of nowhere to win at the track in 2009, and he has slowed down since. Kahne has five top-15 finishes in his last six starts at Sonoma, and during the stretch, he has logged four finishes of sixth or better, including two straight.
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Odds to win the 2015 Toyota/Save Mart 350
Jeff Gordon #24 +500
Kurt Busch #41 +600
Kevin Harvick #4 +600
Martin Truex Jr. #78 +650
A.J. Allmendinger #47 +900
Carl Edwards #19 +1000
Jimmie Johnson #48 +1000
Clint Bowyer #15 +1200
Tony Stewart #14 +1800
Kyle Busch #18 +1800
Joey Logano #22 +2000
Kasey Kahne #5 +2000
Jamie McMurray #1 +2200
Brad Keselowski #2 +2500
Dale Earnhardt Jr. #88 +2500
Ryan Newman #31 +4000
Denny Hamlin #11 +4000
Matt Kenseth #20 +4000
Paul Menard #27 +4000
Greg Biffle #16 +5000
Sam Hornish Jr. #9 +5000
Kyle Larson #42 +6600
Austin Dillon #3 +7500
Danica Patrick #10 +7500
Casey Mears #13 +10000
Boris Said #32 +10000
Aric Almirola #43 +15000
David Ragan #55 +15000
Brendan Gaughan #62 +15000
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. #17 +15000
David Gilliland #38 +25000
Trevor Bayne #6 +25000
Alex Kennedy #33 +25000
Michael Annett #46 +25000
Justin Allgaier #51 +25000
Michael McDowell #95 +50000
Jeb Burton #26 +50000
Justin Marks #34 +50000
Landon Cassill #40 +50000
Josh Wise #98 +75000
Matt Dibenedetto #83 +75000
Alex Bowman #7 +75000
Cole Whitt #35 +75000
J.J Yeley #23 +75000