2013 Royal Purple 300 Odds, Free Picks and Predictions – Favorites and Sleepers: The Nationwide Series heads to Auto Club Speedway in Fontana, California this weekend, and the race could be a golden opportunity for the series regulars to notch their second win of 2013. Granted, big names Kyle Busch and Brad Keselowski are both in the field, but that is pretty much the extent of the Cup drivers that will be pulling double duty. As a result, the chances for an upset definitely exist.
Joey Logano won last year’s race from the pole and led a race-high 92 of the 150 laps, but his victory wasn’t as easy as those numbers make it seem. He was actually running third when the final caution came out, but a pit road error on the part of Kyle Busch’s crew dropped Busch from first all the way out of the top 10 for the final restart. Logano restarted second with 12 laps to go, but a strong move allowed him to overtake Elliott Sadler for the top spot and lead the rest of the way. Logano’s win was the eighth straight victory for Joe Gibbs Racing at Auto Club Speedway.
2013 Royal Purple 300 Odds, Free Picks and Predictions
The Favorites
His offseason move back to Joe Gibbs Racing has brought about a return of the unstoppable Kyle Busch in the Nationwide Series. He has two wins and a second-place finish in the last three races, and now, he is heading to a track where he has won five of the last seven races and hwere JGR has won eight straight times.. In fact, Busch has finished third or better in eight of his last 10 starts at Auto Club Speedway, and he is a safe bet to be in the mix for the win this weekend.
Believe it or not, Brad Keselowski actually began his Nationwide Series career at Auto Club Speedway with six straight finishes outside the top 25. However, he has been making up for lost time since the rough start, reeling off five straight top-10s at the track. Keselowski has yet to win at ACS, but with four top-five finishes and a 4.6 average finish during his five-race hot streak, it seems like only a matter of time before he changes that.
The Dark Horses
Current point leader Sam Hornish Jr. is running as well as he has at any point in his career. Through four races this year, he has compiled a 3.5 average finish and recorded his second-ever win the in the Nationwide Series. Plain and simple, no series regular has been better than Hornish this year, and he has been a contender in every race so far. Until he shows signs of cooling off, he could pop up in Victory Lane at just about any track.
He is starting to find his rhythm in his first full-time Nationwide ride in a decade, and Brian Vickers has finished third in each of the past two races. More importantly, he has finished eighth or better in his last four starts at Auto Club Speedway, picking up a pair of top-three finishes during the stretch. Vickers could make a long-awaited return to Victory Lane this weekend.
Although the sample size is small, Austin Dillon has shown signs of becoming one of the top drivers in the Nationwide Series at 2.0-mile tracks. After all, Auto Club Speedway and Michigan International Speedway are the two tracks on the schedule with a 2.0-mile layout, and he finished fifth at both as a rookie last season. With a year of experience under his belt, Dillon could take the next step and get to Victory Lane.
The Sleeper Specials
After winning the 2012 season finale in his first start with JR Motorsports, big things were expected out of Regan Smith when he took a full-time ride with the same organization in 2013. Well, the start has been a little slower than anticipated, but Smith has finished in the top 15 in all four races this year and has improved his result in every start. He is coming off a sixth-place run at Bristol last weekend, and if the trend of improvement continues, Saturday’s race at ACS could mark the first time Smith contends for a victory this season.
One of the bigger surprises thus far has been the stead performance of Brian Scott. After being plagued by wrecks last year, he has opened 2013 with four straight top-10s. More importantly, Auto Club Speedway has been one of his best tracks throughout his young career. Scott has four straight top-15s at ACS, including a career-best fourth-place run last season. A hot driver at one of his best tracks could be a recipe for an upset.
Big Name to Avoid
Four races into the 2013 season, Justin Allgaier is sitting second in the standings. However, he probably won’t be gaining ground this weekend at Auto Club Speedway. He hasn’t run poorly at the track by any means, but he has never finished better than eighth and has just two top-10s in six starts. Allgaier is more than capable of salvaging a top-15 finish Saturday, but just don’t expect him to be one of the series regulars trying to sneak into Victory Lane.
Be sure to check the NSAwins.com Betting Daily Blog all week for updated 2013 Auto Club 400 odds, free tips, free picks, predictions and articles from NASCAR expert tipster Brian Polking. NSAwins.com is your home for 2013 Auto Club 400 Betting Odds and Handicapping coverage!
Odds to win the 2013 Royal Purple 300
301 Kyle Busch +200
302 Brad Keselowski +350
303 Brian Vickers +800
304 Austin Dillon +900
305 Sam Hornish Jr +900
306 Trevor Bayne +1000
307 Elliott Sadler +1200
308 Regan Smith +1200
309 Justin Allgaier +2000
310 Reed Larson +1000
311 Parker Kligerman +3000
312 Reed Sorenson +3000
313 Nelson Piquet Jr +3500
314 Field +1200
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