2013 Quicken Loans 400 Free Picks: Betting on Underdogs for Big Payoffs : The Cup Series heads to Michigan International Speedway this weekend, and the track’s 2.0-mile layout and wide racing surface tends to produce long stretches of green flag racing that results in many races coming down to fuel mileage. As a result, the finishes at Michigan tend to be unpredictable, and many a driver has run out of fuel while leading on the final lap. Heck, Mark Martin was running third on the final lap in June of 2009 when both the first and second-place drivers ran out of fuel. More importantly, the fuel mileage finishes often allow unexpected drivers to get to victory lane. For example, Brian Vickers, Jeremy Mayfield and Sterling Marlin have all won at MIS, but Jimmie Johnson hasn’t. The bottom line is that this weekend’s Quicken Loans 400 is an excellent chance for bettors to hit it big with a dark horse pick. With that in mind, here is a closer look at a few underdogs that could be worth betting on at Michigan Sunday.
While he has established himself as a driver on the rise in recent years, Clint Bowyer is only a 22/1 longshot to win this weekend at Michigan. Granted, he has never finished in the top five at the 2.0-mile track, but bettors should still be very intrigued by his odds. After all, he has finished in the top 10 in four straight starts at Michigan, giving him the longest active streak of top-10 finishes at the track of any driver. Perhaps more importantly, Bowyer has a history of being excellent at conserving fuel and using pit strategy to win races. In fact, all three of his victories last season came courtesy of fuel mileage. Bowyer has already proven he can finish in the top 10 on a regular basis at Michigan, and the fact that races at the track often come down to fuel mileage plays to his strengths. In other words, there are a lot of reasons to like Bowyer this weekend, including his current odds.
Sitting 19th in the standings with just two top-five finishes, it is easy understand why Ryan Newman is a 33/1 underdog to win this weekend at Michigan. However, his results the last few weeks as well as his recent results at Michigan suggest that he could be a serious steal for bettors. For starters, he has finished in the top 10 in three of the four races leading up to Sunday’s Quicken Loans 400, and he recorded his first top-five finish since the season opener last weekend at Pocono. Meanwhile, Newman has reeled off four straight top-15s at Michigan and has finished eighth or better three times during the stretch. He is also a two-time winner at the track, and considering the momentum he brings into the Sunday’s event, Newman could add to that total this weekend and deliver a sizeable payoff to bettors in the process.
Although he had a terrible year at Michigan in 2012, Mark Martin is criminally undervalued at his current 40/1 odds. After all, he finished ninth and fourth in two starts at the track in 2011, and he actually led the most laps at MIS last August and was leading when oil on the track caused him to spin and slam into the inside wall. More importantly, Martin won a race at Michigan as recently as 2009, and he is a five-time winner at the track in his career. The five wins are the most for Martin and any track so the veteran knows how to get around the 2.0-mile oval. Martin was likely one unlucky break away from winning at Michigan last year, and this weekend, bettors can get 40/1 odds on him. Needless to say, this is an opportunity worth capitalizing on.
He has basically been in a slump since the start of the 2010 season, and Juan Pablo Montoya’s 50/1 odds to win this weekend have been the norm for him for quite a while. That being said, there have been several signs in recent weeks that Montoya is finally seeing some light at the end of the tunnel and is ready to start producing strong results on the track. Keep in mind that he has just three top-10s and two top-five finishes all year, but he has recorded all of them in the last six races. In fact, he has been the sixth-best driver in the series over the past four races, and he came within three laps of winning two weeks ago at Dover before ultimately settling for second. Now, Montoya heads to a Michigan track where he has three top-10s since 2008, including two in the last three June races. Based on his recent momentum alone, Montoya deserves consideration as a sleeper bet this weekend. After all, even a small wager turns into a hefty payout at 50/1 odds.
Be sure to check the NSAwins.com Betting Daily Blog all week for updated 2013 Quicken Loans 400 odds, free tips, free picks, predictions and articles from NASCAR expert tipster Brian Polking. NSAwins.com is your home for 2013 Quicken Loans 400 Betting Odds and Handicapping coverage!
Odds to win the Nascar 2013 Quicken Loans 400
Jimmie Johnson 4/1
Kasey Kahne 7/1
Matt Kenseth 7/1
Dale Earnhardt Jr 8/1
Kyle Busch 10/1
Denny Hamlin 10/1
Brad Keselowski 12/1
Tony Stewart 12/1
Carl Edwards 12/1
Kurt Busch 15/1
Greg Biffle 15/1
Jeff Gordon 18/1
Kevin Harvick 18/1
Clint Bowyer 25/1
Martin Truex Jr 25/1
Joey Logano 40/1
Ryan Newman 40/1
Ricky Stenhouse 40/1
Jamie McMurray 60/1
Mark Martin 60/1
Juan Montoya 60/1
Paul Menard 100/1
Marcos Ambrose 100/1
Aric Almirola 100/1
Jeff Burton 100/1
Trevor Bayne 500/1
Danica Patrick 500/1
Field (Any Other Driver) 75/1
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