2013 Hollywood Casino 400 Odds, Free Picks and Predictions: Jimmie Johnson the Vegas Favorite: The Cup Series heads back to Kansas Speedway for the fourth race of the 2013 Chase for the Sprint Cup. The 1.5-mile oval has been known to produce some unexpected finishes, and the track’s fast slick, surface can cause even the best drivers problems. The slippery surface was on full display last fall as the dominant cars of Aric Almirola and Mark Martin both had trouble. With Almirola and Martin out of the picture, Matt Kenseth was able to take control. He ended up leading a race-high 78 laps en route to a comfortable victory at Kansas.
2013 Hollywood Casino 400 Odds, Free Picks and Predictions
The Favorites
He is the defending winner of this weekend’s race, and Matt Kenseth is also going for a season sweep at Kansas after winning the April event earlier this year. In addition to the back-to-back wins, he owns a series-leading 3.8 average finish in the last six starts at the track. During the stretch, he hasn’t finished worse than seventh, and Kenseth has finished fourth or better in his last four Kansas starts. By the way, he has also won four of the seven races at 1.5-mile track in 2013.
His 7.6 average finish at Kansas is the best of any driver, and Jimmie Johnson is no stranger to running up front at the track. He has notched a pair of wins at the 1.5-mile oval, and in 14 starts, he has 12 top-10 finishes. Johnson has also reeled of nine straight top-10s at Kansas, and during the stretch, he has six finishes of third or better, including a third-place effort earlier this year.
Although his last two starts at Kansas haven’t been great, Greg Biffle still owns one of the best records of any driver at the track. His 10.1 average finish is the fourth best in the series, and in 14 starts, he has 11 finishes of 12th or better. More importantly, Biffle is a two-time winner at Kansas, and he has finished third or better six times.
The Dark Horses
While he is still looking for a win at Kansas, Kasey Kahne has had several close calls at the track the last couple of years. In fact, he has a 4.0 average finish at the 1.5-mile oval in his last four starts and has three finishes of fourth or better during the stretch. Kahne has finished as high as second at Kansas twice since 2011, including a runner-up effort earlier this year.
After seven underwhelming starts at Kansas, Martin Truex Jr. has been on a tear at the track since 2012. He has finished second, second and fourth in his last three starts at the 1.5-mile oval, leading for than 200 laps during the stretch. Overall, Truex has been the second-best driver in the series in the last 10 races at 1.5-mile tracks, and he has been a legit factor for the win in each of his last three starts at Kansas.
He actually won the first two races the Cup Series every held at Kansas, and while Jeff Gordon hasn’t won at the track since, he has remained a contender in many of his starts. In 15 career starts at Kansas, Gordon has 10 top-10 finishes. More importantly, he has eight top-five finishes at the track.
Sleeper Special
In the last six races at Kansas, Paul Menard has quietly logged four finishes of 12th or better. He has been particularly effective recently, finishing a career-best third at the track last fall and notching a top-10 earlier this year. At the very least, Menard should be in the mix Sunday with a chance to pull the upset.
Big Name to Avoid
Although he has been dominant in the Chase so far, Kyle Busch could be heading for a long afternoon at Kansas. For one, he has a dismal 22.4 average finish in 12 starts at the track. More concerning is the fact that Busch has managed just two top-10s at Kansas and has never finished in the top five.
Be sure to check the NSAwins.com Betting Daily Blog all week for updated 2013 Hollywood Casino 400 odds, free tips, free picks, predictions and articles from NASCAR expert tipster Brian Polking. NSAwins.com is your home for 2013 Hollywood Casino 400 Betting Odds and Handicapping coverage!
Driver Odds to win the 2013 Hollywood Casino 400
101 Matt Kenseth +450
102 Jimmie Johnson +350
103 Kyle Busch +800
104 Kasey Kahne +800
105 Carl Edwards +1200
106 Brad Keselowski +1800
107 Greg Biffle +2500
108 Jeff Gordon +1500
109 Martin Truex Jr +2000
110 Clint Bowyer +2000
111 Joey Logano +1000
112 Kevin Harvick +1000
113 Kurt Busch +2500
114 Dale Earnhardt Jr +1400
115 Ryan Newman +4000
116 Denny Hamlin +2800
117 Brian Vickers +3500
118 Jamie McMurray +4000
119 Field +2200
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