2013 Goody’s Headache Relief Shot 500 Free Picks: Betting on Underdogs for Big Payoffs : The Cup Series heads back to Martinsville Speedway this weekend, and while the track has been dominated in recent years by stars like Jimmie Johnson and Denny Hamlin, the flat layout of the paperclip-shaped half-mile makes passing difficult and track position vital. As a result, pit strategy can become the great equalizer and give underdogs a chance to steal away the win. Keep in mind that there have been some serious upset winners at Martinsville in the past, including Ricky Craven and John Andretti. With that in mind, here is a closer look at a few longshots worth betting on that could pull of the upset this weekend at Martinsville.
With a 20.8 average finish in 20 starts at Martinsville, the track clearly isn’t one of Greg Biffle’s best. However, he has been enjoying the best stretch of his career at the track. He has reeled off four straight top-15s at the track, including back-to-back top-10s. Considering the back-to-back top-10s were the same amount Biffle had managed in his previous 18 starts at Martinsville, it is safe to say he is trending in the right direction. Granted, he has yet to finish in the top five at the track, but given his recent progress and his 33/1 odds to win, Biffle could be worth a flier for bettors this weekend.
Fresh off an upset win at Talladega, Jamie McMurray could be up to the same tricks at Martinsville this weekend. After all, he has finished 11th or better in five of his last nine starts at the track, including a seventh-place run earlier this year. Granted, his last top-five finish at the track came way back in 2004, but he has been able to consistently finish in and around the top 10. Meanwhile, the momentum from his victory at Talladega certainly won’t hurt the cause as history says a little confidence can go a long way. McMurray is a 40/1 longshot to win this weekend so it will only take a small bet to yield a sizeable payout.
Veteran Mark Martin has had a tough time since replacing the injured Tony Stewart, but he could bust out of his slump in a big way this weekend at Martinsville. After all, he has finished in the top 10 in five of his last seven starts at the track, and he has finished as high as second during the stretch. Meanwhile, the No. 14 Stewart-Haas Racing team that Martin will be driving for this weekend won at Martinsville in the fall of 2011 so he should have a decent setup to work with. The bottom line is that Martin is an experienced driver with a recent history of success at Martinsville. At his 75/1 odds, he could end up being a steal.
Bettors looking for a serious sleeper this weekend should consider taking a chance on Aric Almirola. He is a 100/1 longshot to get to victory lane, and while he has never won a Cup race and has had an inconsistent 2013 campaign, he has been solid at Martinsville lately. In fact, he has a 10.7 average finish in his last three starts at the track, including a career-best fourth-place finish last fall. Throw in the fact that Almirola has a history of running his best at the end of the year, and he is at least worth a small bet in case he builds of his recent success at Martinsville and cashes in on his first Cup win.
Be sure to check the NSAwins.com Betting Daily Blog all week for updated 2013 Goody’s Headache Relief Shot 500 odds, free tips, free picks, predictions and articles from NASCAR expert tipster Brian Polking. NSAwins.com is your home for 2013 Goody’s Headache Relief Shot 500 Betting Odds and Handicapping coverage!
Odds to win the Nascar 2013 Goody’s Headache Relief Shot 500
Jimmie Johnson +175
Jeff Gordon +700
Kyle Busch +600
Kasey Kahne +1200
Matt Kenseth +800
Clint Bowyer +1200
Kevin Harvick +1200
Brad Keselowski +1800
Denny Hamlin +825
Dale Earnhardt Jr +1200
Martin Truex Jr +3500
Kurt Busch +4000
Carl Edwards +4000
Greg Biffle +7500
Joey Logano +2500
Jamie McMurray +6000
Ryan Newman +6000
Field +2500
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