2013 Ford EcoBoost 400 Odds, Free Picks and Predictions: Jimmie Johnson the Vegas Favorite: The 2013 Sprint Cup season comes to a close this weekend at Homestead-Miami Speedway. The 1.5-mile oval has been hosting the season finale for more than a decade, and while a few drivers will be focused mainly on competing for the championship, the rest of the field will be focused on winning Sunday’s Ford EcoBoost 400. Last year, Kyle Busch appeared to be cruising to a win at Homestead, leading a race-high 191 of the 267 laps. However, the race ended on a long green flag run, and while Busch had to stop for a splash of fuel, Jeff Gordon was able to conserve enough fuel to make it to the finish and steal away the win.
The Favorites
He is coming off a win last weekend at Phoenix, and Kevin Harvick could go back to victory lane this weekend at Homestead. After all, his 7.9 average finish at the track is the second best in the series, and in 12 starts, he has 10 top-10 finishes, including five straight. Meanwhile, Harvick has a 4.8 average finish during his last five races at Homestead and has finished third or better three times during the span.
His 6.0 average finish at Homestead is the best in the series, and Carl Edwards has never finished outside the top 15 in nine starts at the track. He has also finished eighth or better seven times, including five top-five finishes. More importantly, Edwards has three top-two finishes, including two victories, in his last five starts at Homestead. Not only is Edwards a near lock to be in the mix Sunday, but he has already shown in multiple occasions that he can seal the deal.
The Dark Horses
He is the defending winner of this weekend’s race at Jeff Gordon has been dialed in at the track for a while now. He has 11 top-10 finishes in 14 starts at the track, and he has finished sixth or better in five of his last six starts. Gordon finally broke through with a win at Homestead last year, and with his consistent record at the track, back-to-back victories aren’t out of the question.
Greg Biffle is one of two drivers with three wins at Homestead, and he won three races in consecutive fashion from 2004 to 2006. Granted, he hasn’t been back since the streak ended, but he did finish in the top five in last year’s event. Biffle has definitely shown he can seal the deal at Homestead, and after a strong run at the track last year, he could be on the verge of recapturing his winning form.
While he isn’t the biggest name, Martin Truex Jr. has been delivering big time results at Homestead throughout his career. Since becoming a full-time driver, he has finished in 11th or better in all seven starts at the track, compiling a 6.7 average finish. Truex has finished as high as second during the stretch and has finished third and sixth in his two most recent starts at the track. A win seems like only a matter of time.
Sleeper Special
He will get the start in the JTG Daugherty Racing No. 47 in the season finale, and A.J. Allmendinger could make the most of his time behind the wheel. After all, his 10.3 average finish is the fourth best among drivers at Homestead, and in four starts at the track, he has never finished outside the top 15. Allmendinger has also finished in the top 10 in two of his last three starts at the track, finishing as high as fifth.
Big Name to Avoid
Defending series champ Brad Keselowski has been running well during the Chase, but he could have a tough time ending the year on a high note. After all, he has a 19.2 average finish in five career starts at Homestead, and he has never finished in the top 10 at the track. It’s hard to imagine Keselowski suddenly winning at Homestead this weekend when his best previous finish at the track is 13th.
Be sure to check the NSAwins.com Betting Daily Blog all week for updated 2013 Ford EcoBoost 400 odds, free tips, free picks, predictions and articles from NASCAR expert tipster Brian Polking. NSAwins.com is your home for 2013 Ford EcoBoost 400 Betting Odds and Handicapping coverage!
Driver Odds to win the 2013 Ford EcoBoost 400
Matt Kenseth +300
Kyle Busch +600
Kasey Kahne +900
Kevin Harvick +700
Brad Keselowski +700
Jeff Gordon +1400
Dale Earnhardt Jr +1400
Jimmie Johnson +1400
Denny Hamlin +1000
Joey Logano +1000
Carl Edwards +1800
Clint Bowyer +2500
Martin Truex Jr +1800
Kurt Busch +1200
Greg Biffle +3000
Ryan Newman +3500
Field +1800
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