2013 FedEx 400 benefitting Autism Speaks Odds, Free Picks and Predictions – 2013 FedEx 400 Favorites and Sleepers to Win on Sunday June 2, 2013 at at Dover International Speedway in Dover, Delaware: The Cup Series heads to Dover International Speedway this weekend for the FedEx 400, and the track has a reputation for being one of the toughest on the schedule. In fact, Dover has earned the nickname the “Monster Mile” because of its history of tearing up cars. The problem is that there isn’t much distance between the outside and inside barriers so any spin, no matter how minor, usually ends with a car bouncing off at least one of the walls. Throw in a narrow pit road that can be just as dangerous, and Dover definitely lives up to its nickname.
Last June, Jimmie Johnson put an old-fashioned whooping on the rest of the competition. He led 289 of the 400 laps on his way to the win while the rest of the drivers that finished in the top 10 combined to lead just three. Kevin Harvick ended up finishing second, but Johnson was in a class by himself for most of the afternoon.
2013 FedEx 400 Odds, Free Picks and Predictions
The Favorites
Since winning both races at Dover as a rookie, Jimmie Johnson hasn’t really slowed down much. He is a seven-time winner at the track, and four of those victories have come during the last 10 races. During the stretch, Johnson leads all drivers with nine top-10s and a 4.7 average finish. More impressively, he has led 1,764 laps in those 10 races, which are 1,126 more than any other driver. Plain and simple, Johnson has dominated at Dover.
He already has a series-leading three wins under his belt in 2013, and Matt Kenseth is no stranger to running up front at Dover. He is a two-time winner at the track with both of his victories coming in the June event. Not to mention the fact that in the last 10 races at Dover, Kenseth leads all drivers with eight top-five finishes.
The Dark Horses
Although he only has one career win at Dover, no driver has been more consistent than Carl Edwards. In fact, his 8.3 average finish at the track leads all active drivers, and in his last 15 starts, he has just one finish outside the top 15. More importantly, Edwards has eight top-five finishes during the stretch, including six finishes of third or better. It is really only a matter of when and not if he closes the deal and gets his second Dover win.
After getting his car sliced up by a fallen camera cable while leading last weekend at Charlotte, Kyle Busch should have plenty of frustration to unleash on the competition this weekend at Dover. More importantly, he is a two-time winner at the track, and he has finished seventh or better in 10 of his 16 starts. He has also led the second-most laps of any driver in the last 10 races at Dover so he usually has a car capable of winning the race.
Veteran Mark Martin hasn’t seen his numbers suffer all that much as he has gotten older, and he has actually improved at Dover. He has four wins and a 12.3 average finish at the track for his career, but that average jumps to 9.3 since 2003. Martin also has finished in the top 15 in eight of his last nine starts at Dover, finishing third or better three times. Don’t forget about the veteran this weekend.
Sleeper Special
In 273 Cup starts, Martin Truex Jr. has only managed to win one race. However, his lone victory came at Dover in 2007, and in recent years, he has been flirting with a return trip to victory lane. Truex has finished eighth or better in three of his last four starts at the track, including finishes of sixth and seventh last season. If he is ever going to snap his winless drought, there is a good chance it is going to happen at the site of his only other win to date.
Big Name to Avoid
He has emerged as one of the top drivers in the series in recent and has won a ton of races, but Denny Hamlin has had all kinds of issues at Dover. He has a 19.6 average finish in 14 starts at the track and has only finished in the top five twice. More concerning is the fact that Hamlin has finished outside the top 15 in eight of his last 11 Dover starts.
Be sure to check the NSAwins.com Betting Daily Blog all week for updated 2013 FedEx 400 odds, free tips, free picks, predictions and articles from NASCAR expert tipster Brian Polking. NSAwins.com is your home for 2013 FedEx 400 Betting Odds and Handicapping coverage!
Odds to win the 2013 FedEx 400
101 Jimmie Johnson +500
102 Kyle Busch +600
103 Matt Kenseth +600
104 Kasey Kahne +800
105 Denny Hamlin +1000
106 Carl Edwards +1000
107 Greg Biffle +1200
108 Brad Keselowski +1200
109 Clint Bowyer +1200
110 Martin Truex Jr +1500
111 Jeff Gordon +1500
112 Kevin Harvick +1500
113 Kurt Busch +2000
114 Dale Earnhardt Jr +2000
115 Tony Stewart +3000
116 Joey Logano +3000
117 Mark Martin +4000
118 Ryan Newman +5000
119 Field +2000
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