2013 Cheez-It 355 at The Glen Odds, Free Picks and Predictions – Marcos Ambrose Favored to Win: For the second and final team this season, the Cup Series will visit a road course. Watkins Glen International will be the site of this weekend’s Cheez-It 355, and the seven-turn track puts an emphasis on a driver’s ability to handle fast combination corners and multiple elevation changes. In addition to the track’s unique layout, the top storyline heading into the weekend is the injury to Tony Stewart. The three-time Cup champ broke his leg in a sprint car wreck and will be sidelined at least a month. Stewart actually leads all drivers with five win at Watkins Glen, but he will turn his No. 14 over to Max Papis this weekend.
Last year, The Glen was the site of what was probably the most thrilling finish of the season. Kyle Busch appeared to have the race in hand on the final lap, but oil put down by a lap car changed everything. Busch was the first to hit the oil, and he quickly lost the handling of his car. Marcos Ambrose and Brad Keselowski both stormed by Busch, and two began a lap of beating and banging and sliding around, exchanging the lead multiple times. In the end, Ambrose came out on top.
2013 Cheez-It 355 at The Glen Odds, Free Picks and Predictions
The Favorite
With Tony Stewart out with a broken leg, Marcos Ambrose becomes the clear favorite this weekend at Watkins Glen. After all, his 2.0 average finish at the track is the best in the series, and in five starts, he has never finished outside the top three. More importantly, Ambrose has gone to victory lane in the last two races at Watkins Glen, and a three-peat could certainly be on tap this weekend.
The Other Contenders
No driver has a longer active streak of top-10 finishes at Watkins Glen than Kyle Busch. He has reeled off seven straight top-10s, posting a 5.6 average finish during the stretch. Meanwhile, Busch has actually been getting better at the track recently, logging three top-five finishes in his last five starts. During the stretch, Busch has a win in the 2008 event, and he was leading on the final lap of last year’s race when oil on the track caused him to slide off course.
Although Juan Pablo Montoya only has two career wins in the Cup Series, both victories have come at road courses. In fact, his most recent victory came at Watkins Glen, and in six starts at the track, he has finished seventh or better four times. Montoya was also the pole sitter for last year’s race at Watkins Glen, and he was contending for the win until a wreck ended his day.
While he is still looking for his first road course win in the Cup Series, Brad Keselowski has come very close to getting to victory lane in his last two starts at Watkins Glen. He finished second in the 2011 and 2012 race at the track, and last year, he exchanged the lead with eventual winner Marcos Ambrose several times on a wild final lap. It seems like only a matter of time before Keselowski seals the deal at The Glen.
He was a bit of a late bloomer when it comes to road course racing, but Kurt Busch has been one of the best in the business recently. At Watkins Glen specifically, he has finished 11th or better four times in his last six starts and has finished as high as second during the stretch. It’s also worth noting that Busch looked very comfortable in his first road course start with Furniture Row Racing earlier this year when he recovered from two speeding penalties to finish fourth at Sonoma.
Sleeper Special
Despite bouncing between cars in a part-time role this year, A.J. Allmendinger has a chance to pull off an upset this weekend. After all, his 9.0 average finish at Watkins Glen is actually the fourth best in the series, and in four starts at the track, he has never finished outside the top 15. More importantly, he had finished eighth or better in each of his last two starts. For what it’s worth, Allmendinger will also be driving the No. 47 car that Marcos Ambrose drove to three straight top-three finishes at the track from 2008 to 2010.
Big Name to Avoid
His nine road course wins are the most in NASCAR history, but Jeff Gordon has been surprisingly average at Watkins Glen lately. He won his fourth career race at Watkins Glen in 2001, and since the victory, he hasn’t managed a single top-five finish at the track in 11 starts and has only cracked the top 10 twice. Gordon’s career numbers still rank among the best, but he hasn’t gotten the job done at The Glen for more than a decade.
Be sure to check the NSAwins.com Betting Daily Blog all week for updated 2013 Cheez-It 355 at The Glen odds, free tips, free picks, predictions and articles from NASCAR expert tipster Brian Polking. NSAwins.com is your home for 2013 Cheez-It 355 at The Glen Betting Odds and Handicapping coverage!
Odds to win the Nascar 2013 Cheez-It 355 at The Glen
101 Marcos Ambrose +400
102 Jeff Gordon +700
103 Kurt Busch +700
104 Juan Montoya +700
105 Kyle Busch +800
106 Jimmie Johnson +800
107 Brad Keselowski +800
108 Kevin Harvick +1500
109 Clint Boywer +1500
110 Kasey Kahne +2000
111 Martin Truex Jr +2000
112 Carl Edwards +2500
113 Greg Biffle +3000
114 Joey Logano +3000
115 Ryan Newman +3000
116 Jamie McMurray +4000
117 Denny Hamlin +4000
118 Field +800
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