2011 Samsung Mobile 500 Breakdown – Beating the Odds: Who to Bet On

2011 Samsung Mobile 500 Betting Odds Breakdown – Who to Bet On and How to Win Money on NASCAR Betting this week: Racing at Texas Motor Speedway is all about high speeds. The 1.5-mile track has just enough banking and a wide enough surface to allow drivers to barrel off into the corners and accelerate back to the straightaways. Handling and horsepower are both important for success at the track, and past races have shown that driver that can dial in their car at the right time can sneak up and win.

Kurt Busch is one of those drivers that have come out of nowhere to win at Texas, stealing a win from his younger brother Kyle in the closing laps of a 2009 event. Despite the victory, he is only getting 20/1 odds to win Sunday. Granted, he hasn’t been dominant in 2011, but he is sitting inside the top 10 in points. More importantly, he has three top-10s in his last four starts at Texas, including top-five finishes in two of his last three. Bettors should consider throwing a speculative bet his way because it could pay off.

The fact that Mark Martin is getting 22/1 odds to win this weekend is a travesty. The former Texas winner has been on fire at the track lately. He has finished 12th or better in six straight starts at the track, and he has finished sixth or better in his last four. Martin was in contention for the win throughout the fall event last season, eventually winning third. He should be considered one of the favorites, and bettors should be thrilled to see his current odds.

The 2011 season has been a rough one for Jeff Burton, and it has a lot to do with his 30/1 odds this weekend. However, he has actually been pretty stout at the 1.5-mile track. In addition to his win at Texas in 2007, he has finished in the top-15 in seven of his last eight starts. Burton has five top-10s during that stretch, and if he is able to end his current slump, it could end in Victory Lane.

While Burton is among the drivers being disrespected by the oddsmakers, Dale Earnhardt Jr. is getting a little too much credit. At his current 18/1 odds, it is clear that his resurgence in 2011 is starting to win some people over. However, Junior hasn’t run all that well at Texas for several years. He hasn’t had a top-five finish at the track since 2004, and he has just one top-10 finish in his last eight starts. Don’t buy the hype.

He won at the track in 2009, but 12/1 odds for Jeff Gordon are a bit overzealous. He has finished outside the top-10 in three straight starts at Texas, including two straight finishes outside the top-30. At best, Gordon has been a boom or bust driver at Texas, and the odds are not favorable for such a risky pick.

It’s tough to knock Denny Hamlin because he should definitely be one of the favorites for this weekend’s race. After all, he won both races at the track last season and finished second in the start prior. However, there are a lot of outside factors going on with the No. 11 team that should be considered, and making him the overall favorite at 6/1 odds is a bit risky. Hamlin has had three engines issues already in 2011, and he has had fuel mileage problems dating back to last season. He is still winless this year, and he isn’t exactly a sure thing this weekend.  

View the most current vegas betting odds to win the 2011 Samsung Mobile 500 for this Saturday, April 8th at Texas Motor Speedway.

2011 Samsung Mobile 500 Odds to Win
Driver Odds to Win the Samsung Mobile 500
Denny Hamlin +600
Jimmie Johnson +600
Carl Edwards +600
Kevin Harvick +900
Tony Stewart +1000
Kyle Busch +700
Jeff Gordon +1200
Matt Kenseth +1200
Greg Biffle +1600
Dale Earnhardt Jr +2000
Mark Martin +2000
Kurt Busch +2000
Clint Bowyer +2500
Kasey Kahne +3000
Jeff Burton +3000
Ryan Newman +3000
Joey Logano +3000
Juan Montoya +3000
Martin Truex Jr +4000
Jamie McMurray +4000
David Reutimann +4000
Brian Vickers +4000
Field +2500