2011 New England 200 Vegas Odds, Free Picks and Predictions – Favorites and Drivers to Bet On to Win the New England 200: The lack of banking in the turns at New Hampshire Motor Speedway makes passing difficult. Since the Nationwide Series race is only 200 laps, track position becomes one of the most critical factors in winning. Not surprisingly, drivers that qualify up front tend to finish there. Cup drivers have dominated Victory Lane at the track, and a big part of that success starts in qualifying where Cup regulars have won six of the last seven poles.
Last year, it was a two-man show between the eventual series champ Brad Keselowski and the driver that eventually set a record for the most wins in a single season in Kyle Busch. Keselowski sat on the pole, but it was Busch who led the most laps and would end up in Victory Lane. The two drivers combined to lead 189 of the 200 laps and were the only real threats all afternoon.
2011 New England 200 – The Favorites
Considering he is going for his third win in a row at New Hampshire this weekend, Kyle Busch(+200 favorite at SBG Global) is probably a guy to keep an eye on this weekend. He has a 1.7 average finish in his last three starts at the track, and he has been next to unbeatable at NHMS since joining Joe Gibbs Racing. A three-peat for Busch is a definite possibility Saturday.
In six career starts at New Hampshire in the Nationwide Series, Carl Edwards has finished sixth or better each time. Four of those finishes have been third or better, including a win in 2006. Among drivers that have made more than two starts at the 1.0-mile track, Edwards’ 3.2 average finish is the best.
Kevin Harvick has made nine starts at New Hampshire in the Nationwide Series, and he has yet to finish outside the top 10. In fact, he has never finished worse than eighth at the track while piling up seven top-five finishes. Harvick won at the track in 2007 and with three other second-place efforts to his name, there is a good chance he will be near the front when the checkered flag waves Saturday.
2011 New England 200 – The Dark Horses
Although he has yet to win at New Hampshire, Brad Keselowski has improved in every one of his starts at the track. He finished 10th in his debut in 2008, third in 2009 second last season. It is pretty clear that he is getting closer and closer to a trip to Victory Lane, and it could happen this weekend.
He won his first career Cup race at New Hampshire, and Joey Logano has been close to doing the same in the Nationwide Series in two career starts. He has finished second and fourth in his two attempts, and his 3.0 average finish is actually the best among drivers in this weekend’s field. The fact that his Joe Gibbs Racing teammate has won the last two races at NHMS doesn’t hurt Logano’s chances either.
2011 New England 200 – Sleepers Specials
The sample size is small, but Trevor Bayne looked pretty strong in his New Hampshire debut last season. He finished fifth and was the highest placing Nationwide regular. With another year of experience and a Daytona 500 victory under his belt, Bayne could make the jump from contender to race winner this weekend.
After finishing 13th in his New Hampshire debut in 2009, Justin Allgaier showed some serious improvement last season. He finished sixth and was second best series regular in the race. Allgaier has shown steady progress behind the wheel this year, and it isn’t out of the question that he improves on his 2010 result and wins this weekend.
2011 New England 200 – Big Names to Avoid
He enters this weekend’s race as the point leader, but Elliott Sadler could have some trouble Saturday. After finishing fourth in his track debut, he has failed to crack the top 10 in his two most recent starts. Considering both of those starts have come within the last two years, it is safe to say that Sadler doesn’t have a feel for NHMS at the moment.
His numbers at New Hampshire aren’t terrible, but Jason Leffler hasn’t had the look of a potential race winner either. He has just one top-10 in his last six starts at the track, and a top-15 finish is the likely scenario this weekend. The fact that Leffler has managed just two top-five finishes all season doesn’t bode well for his chances of winning either.
Get weekly updated NASCAR betting odds on NSAwins.com.
Odds to win the 2011 New England 200 – New Hampshire Motor Speedway – Saturday, July 16, 2011
Kyle Busch +250
Carl Edwards +300
Kevin Harvick +500
Joey Logano +500
Brad Keselowski +500
Kasey Kahne +1000
Elliot Sadler +1200
Ricky Stenhouse +1200
Trevor Bayne +2000
Reed Sorenson +2500
Aric Almirola +2500
Field +800
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