2011 Kobalt Tools 500 Odds, Free Picks and Predictions – Favorites to Win and Drivers to Watch

2011 Kobalt Tools 500 Odds, Predictions, Betting Tips and Free Picks – Favorites and Lines to Win Kobalt Tools 500 at the Phoenix International Raceway in Avondale, Arizona: NASCAR betting odds to win the 2011 AAA Texas 500 this Sunday, November 13th at the Phoenix International Raceway in Avondale, Arizona have been posted at all the major Las Vegas and best online sportsbooks with Tony Stewart having been installed as the 6/1 favorites to win the 2011 Kobalt Tools 500.

Auto Racing

When the Cup Series heads to Phoenix International Raceway this weekend, it won’t be the same old 1.0-mile track that drivers have seen in years past. Following the February event, the track was repaved and slightly reconfigured. The result will be a serious learning curve for teams as they try to develop new setups. Drivers will have their work cut out for them as well come race day. Passing is always difficult at PIR, and it is expected to be even more so as the new surface gets broken in.

Last fall, Denny Hamlin appeared to be on his way to a victory that would have all but clinched his first career championship. He led 190 of the 312 laps, but poor fuel mileage forced him to make an extra green flag pit stop lat in the race. As a result, Carl Edwards inherited the lad and went on to win, while Jimmie Johnson closed the gap on Hamlin in the title fight before beating him for the crown in the season finale.

Earlier this year, the fireworks got started in the opening laps when Kyle Busch and Edwards got together ending Edwards’ day. Jeff Gordon and Tony Stewart swapped the lead for most of the race, and two-tire stop for Stewart put him well out front with less than 20 laps remaining. However, a late caution allowed Gordon to close the gap, and he used his four fresh tires to pass Stewart for the victory.

The Favorites – 2011 Kobalt Tools 500 Odds, Predictions and Free Picks

His reign as champ is coming to an end, but Jimmie Johnson has a good chance to get to Victory Lane this weekend. He leads all drivers with a 4.8 average finish at Phoenix, and he has never finished outside the top 15. Johnson has 10 straight top-five finishes at the track, including four wins.

He is going for a season sweep at Phoenix this weekend, and Jeff Gordon’s history at the track suggests he could get the job done. He has four straight finishes of 11th or better at PIR, and his 9.3 average finish in his last 20 starts is the third-best mark during that stretch. Gordon has had a great year at the flat tracks, and he could add another win to his total.

The Dark Horses – 2011 Kobalt Tools 500 Lines, Preview and Expert Picks

During the last three races at Phoenix, nobody has been better than Ryan Newman. He has three straight top-five finishes, including a win and a second-place finish. Newman has a setup that is working for him, and another trip to Victory Lane is certainly a possibility.

His last win at Phoenix came in 2005, but Kurt Busch has been piling up plenty of solid finishes in the meantime. He has five top-10 finishes in his last six starts at the track. He has a pair of top-three finishes during stretch, and Busch always seems to be near the front of the field at PIR. 

Sleepers Specials – 2011 Kobalt Tools 500 Vegas Odds, Expert Predictions and Free Picks

Earlier this year, A.J. Allmendinger notched a career-best ninth-place finish at Phoenix. He has five top-20 finishes in six starts at the track, including three top-15 finishes in his last four starts. Flat tracks have always been Allmendinger’s best, and he is a definite upset candidate.

Juan Pablo Montoya has had his struggles this year, but he has had some strong runs at Phoenix in the past. He has finished as high as fifth, and he has led more than 100 laps in a single event. Road course experts tend to also run well at PIR, and Montoya is as good as they come at road courses.

Big Names to Avoid – 2011 Kobalt Tools 500 Betting Odds, Predictions and Free NASCAR Picks

Phoenix has always been tough on Brian Vickers. He has seven straight finishes outside the top 15, including three straight finishes of 30th or worse. Vickers has a 22.9 average finish for his career, and he has never been a factor for a win at the track.

He has enjoyed a career year, but Paul Menard has never had success at Phoenix. He has finished outside the top 15 in all nine of his starts, and he has finished outside the top 20 eight times. Until he shows signs of being able to crack the top 10, a win seems next to impossible.

Auto Racing

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Be sure to check the NSAwins.com Betting Daily Blog all week for updated 2011 Kobalt Tools 500 odds, free tips, free picks, predictions and articles from NASCAR expert tipster Brian Polking. NSAwins.com is your home for 2011 Kobalt Tools 500 Betting Odds and Handicapping coverage!

2011 Kobalt Tools 500 Odds – November 13th at Phoenix International Raceway.
Driver Odds to Win the 2011 Kobalt Tools 500
Tony Stewart 6/1

Carl Edwards 7/1

Jeff Gordon 7/1

Jimmie Johnson 7/1

Kyle Busch 8/1

Matt Kenseth 10/1

Denny Hamlin 12/1

Kevin Harvick 12/1

Clint Bowyer 15/1

Kasey Kahne 18/1

Greg Biffle 18/1

Ryan Newman 20/1

Kurt Busch 20/1

Brad Keselowski 20/1

Dale Earnhardt Jr 25/1

Mark Martin 40/1

Jeff Burton 40/1

Martin Truex Jr 50/1

Jamie McMurray 50/1

Field 18/1

Check the latest NASCAR Odds and Betting Lines from BoDog below:


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