2014 BCS National Championship Predictions: BCS Title Contenders to Avoid:With the 2013 college football season getting closer by the day, the top programs in the country will soon begin their quest for a national title. While the teams that will start the year highly ranked do have a bit of an advantage, a top-10 ranking to open the year means little if a team doesn’t ultimately take care of business on the field. Scanning the preseason rankings, there are already a handful of teams that could have trouble living up to their lofty expectations. With that in mind, here is a closer look at a few teams that are expected to contend for a national title in 2013 that bettors may want to avoid.
They will open the season ranked in the top 10 in the country, and while the Clemson Tigers do have the best quarterback in the ACC by a wide margin in Tajh Boyd and could certainly run the table in conference play, completing the entire regular season undefeated seems unlikely. Clemson opens the season against a Georgia team that has more than enough offensive firepower to exploit the Tigers’ below average, and they close the year against a South Carolina team that has owned them in recent years and has completely shut down Clemson’s high-powered offense. Bet on Boyd and company to win the ACC, but a pair of SEC opponents that bookend the Tigers’ schedule will keep them out of the BCS title game.
For the past two years, the LSU Tigers have had one of the most talented defensive units in the country, but a lack of offensive firepower kept them from winning a championship. Well, questions still abound of the Tigers’ offense, especially about the play of quarterback Zach Mettenberger, and the defense is reloading a bit after losing a ton of talent to the NFL. Granted, LSU is replacing talented players with highly-touted recruits and is still going to open the year ranked in the top 10, but it is going to be tough for the new starters to get their feet wet against a schedule that features home games against Texas A&M and Florida and road games against Alabama and Georgia. A split is probably the best case scenario in those four contests so the Tigers are going to be on the outside of the title picture looking in even if they are flawless otherwise.
While they nearly played for a national title last year, the one-dimensional Florida Gators are going to be hard pressed to match their success from 2012. To be fair, Florida does have an elite defense and special teams unit so maybe they are two dimensional, but that doesn’t change the fact that the Gators’ offense is pathetic. With a conference schedule that features a neutral site meeting with Georgia and road games against South Carolina and LSU to go with out-of-conference showdowns with in-state rivals Miami and Florida State, Florida’s lack of playmakers on offense is going to be exposed at some point. LSU and Notre Dame can both attest that a great defense can only take a team so far, and while those teams at least reached the title game before getting stomped by Alabama, the Gators won’t even be that fortunate.
Maybe it’s just me, but the Oklahoma Sooners seem to be living off their past success for the past few seasons. After all, Bob Stoops’ program has managed just a single BCS bowl win in the last decade, but Oklahoma always seems to open the year near the top of the polls. The Sooners will only be a top-15 team to start 2013, and climbing to the top of the charts isn’t likely. Yes, Oklahoma does have a stout offensive line and plenty of weapons on offense, but quarterback Blake Bell is a major question mark as he tries to replace Landry Jones as starter. Meanwhile, the defense is still a work in progress, and the schedule is littered with tough road games. The Sooners head to South Bend early in the year before closing with trips to Kansas State and Oklahoma State. Oklahoma should be happy with a Big 12 title in 2013 because a national title is out of reach.
Odds to win the 2014 BCS National Championship
1801 Alabama +300
1802 Arkansas +17500
1803 Auburn +20000
1804 Arizona +15000
1805 Boise State +6600
1806 Boston College +75000
1807 BYU +15000
1808 California +35000
1809 Cincinnati +15000
1810 Clemson +2500
1811 Florida +2500
1812 Florida State +2000
1813 Georgia +2000
1814 Georgia Tech +20000
1815 Iowa +20000
1816 Kansas State +15000
1817 Louisville +2000
1818 LSU +1500
1819 Miami +2500
1820 Michigan +4000
1821 Mississippi +12500
1822 Mississippi State +12500
1823 Missouri +25000
1824 Nebraska +5000
1825 North Carolina +8000
1826 Notre Dame +5500
1827 Ohio State +800
1828 Oklahoma +4000
1829 Oklahoma State +3000
1830 Oregon +650
1831 Oregon State +10000
1832 Pittsburgh +15000
1833 Rutgers +10000
1834 South Carolina +2000
1835 South Florida +25000
1836 Stanford +1500
1837 TCU +8000
1838 Tennessee +10000
1839 Texas +3000
1840 Texas A&M +1200
1841 UCLA +5000
1842 USC +6600
1843 Virginia Tech +12500
1844 Washington +10000
1845 West Virginia +25000
1846 Wisconsin +5000
1847 Field +2000
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