2012 Pure Michigan 400 Odds, Free Picks and Predictions – Pure Michigan 400 Favorites and Sleepers to Win at Michigan International Speedway: NASCAR betting odds to win the 2012 Pure Michigan 400 this Sunday, August 19th at the Michigan International Speedway in Brooklyn, Michigan have been posted at all the major Las Vegas and best online sportsbooks with Jimmie Johnson having been installed as the 5/1 +500 favorite to win the 2012 Pure Michigan 400.
From three-wide racing to speeds that regularly top 200 mph, Michigan International Speedway is oval racing at its finest. The 2.0-mile track’s wide racing surface allows for comfortable side-by-side racing, and it also allows drivers to move forward through the field. With some cars performing better on short runs and others running better on longer runs, it creates an interesting mix of comers and goers. More often than not, the contenders for the win won’t really emerge until the final 40 laps.
Last August, pole-sitter Greg Biffle and Jeff Gordon dominated the early stages of the race, combining to lead 136 of the 203 laps. However, neither driver was a factor at the finish, as Kyle Busch and Jimmie Johnson worked their way to the front. Busch got by Johnson for the lead in the closing laps, and he was able to hold off the five-time champ in a green-white-checkered finish with relative ease.
Earlier this year, Dale Earnhardt Jr. finally gave his legion of fans something to cheer about, snapping a four-year winless drought. Coincidentally, his last win also came at the June race in Michigan back in 2008 when he used fuel mileage strategy to sneak out a win. There was no strategy involved in the win this time around. Junior had the car to beat most of the afternoon, leading 95 of the 200 laps. Greg Biffle, Matt Kenseth and Tony Stewart all mounted minor charges, but Junior clobbered all of them in the final run.
The Favorites – 2012 Pure Michigan 400 Odds, Predictions and Free Picks
Although he has never won at Michigan, Jimmie Johnson has been close on countless occasions. In fact, he has twice run out of gas while leading on the last lap. Not to mention the fact that Johnson finished second at MIS last August, and he finished fifth at the track earlier this year. With a series-high three wins already under his belt in 2012, this could be the year he finally finds Victory Lane at Michigan.
With five straight top-10 finishes and counting at Michigan, Tony Stewart is one of the most consistent drivers in the series at Michigan. His 9.0 average finish is the second best at the track over the last 20 races, and he has 16 top-10s during the stretch. Stewart finished second at MIS earlier this year, and he just might close the deal this weekend.
His last win at Michigan came in 2006, but Matt Kenseth always seems to be near the front of the field at the 2.0-mile track. He has four straight top-10s at MIS, and he has cracked the top five three times during the stretch. In his last 10 starts at the track, Kenseth has six top-five finishes. He finished third at MIS earlier this year, and there is a good chance he will be a factor once again.
The Dark Horses – 2012 Pure Michigan 400 Odds, Predictions and Free Picks
After going four years between victories, Dale Earnhardt Jr. might be able to win twice in the span of a few months. He wasn’t just good in his win at Michigan earlier this year. He was dominant. Junior absolutely blew away the field in the closing laps, and a season sweep at MIS is a real possibility.
It has been a forgettable year for Carl Edwards, but Michigan has always been kind to him. He is a two-time winner at the track, and his 8.4 average finish is the best among active drivers. Edwards has finished outside the top 12 just twice in 16 career starts at MIS, and in his last eight starts, he has five top-five finishes. This could be the weekend that the sleeping giant finally awakes.
Sleeper Specials – 2012 Pure Michigan 400 Odds, Predictions and Free Picks
Despite never finishing in the top five at Michigan, Clint Bowyer could surprise this weekend. He has finished in the top 15 in six of his last seven starts, picking up five top-10s along the way. More importantly, Bowyer has finished in the top 10 in his last three starts at the track. He finished a career-best seventh at MIS in June, and he seems to keep getting better and better.
Although his 21.0 average finish at Michigan isn’t impressive, Brad Keselowski is much better than his numbers suggest. For starters, he has finished third and 13th in his last two starts at the track. More importantly, he has been the hottest driver in the series heading to MIS. Keselowski has a 4.7 average finish in the last six races, and the momentum could carry him to his first-career win at Michigan.
Big Name to Avoid – 2012 Pure Michigan 400 Odds, Predictions and Free Picks
Kevin Harvick won at Michigan as recently as August of 2010, but he has been struggling lately. He has a 15.3 average finish in his three starts at the track since his victory, and he doesn’t have much momentum to work with. Harvick’s last top-five finish came on June 3, and he has just two top-10s in the nine races leading up to Michigan. He just isn’t running well enough right now to compete for a win.
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2012 Pure Michigan 400 Odds – August 19th at Michigan International Speedway.
Driver Odds to Win the 2012 Pure Michigan 400
Jimmie Johnson 5/1
Matt Kenseth 6/1
Carl Edwards 7/1
Kasey Kahne 10/1
Dale Earnhardt Jr 10/1
Kyle Busch 12/1
Tony Stewart 12/1
Greg Biffle 12/1
Mark Martin 12/1
Jeff Gordon 12/1
Denny Hamlin 15/1
Brad Keselowski 18/1
Martin Truex Jr 18/1
Kevin Harvick 25/1
Clint Bowyer 30/1
Joey Logano 30/1
Paul Menard 40/1
Ryan Newman 50/1
Marcos Ambrose 60/1
Trevor Bayne 75/1
Kurt Busch 100/1
Jamie McMurray 100/1
Jeff Burton 100/1
Sam Hornish Jr 100/1
Juan Pablo Montoya 100/1
Regan Smith 200/1
David Ragan 300/1
Bobby Labonte 300/1
Aric Almirola 300/1
Field (Any Other Driver) 50/1
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