2012 Capital City 400 Odds, Free Picks and Predictions – Favorites and Sleepers to Win Capital City 400 at Richmond International Raceway: NASCAR betting odds to win the 2012 Capital City 400 this Saturday, April 28th at Richmond International Raceway in Richmond, Virginia have been posted at all the major Las Vegas and best online sportsbooks with Kyle Busch and Denny Hamlin having been installed as the 6/1 +600 favorites to win the 2012 Capital City 400.
After trips to Texas and Kansas, the Cup Series gets back to some bumping and banging this weekend at Richmond International Raceway. The 0.75-mile track offers drivers and fans the best of both worlds, combining the speeds seen at larger ovals with the tight, side-by-side racing that has made short tracks famous. Needless to say, Richmond continues to be a fan favorite.
Last May, Kyle Busch left little doubt that he had the best car on the track. He led 235 of the 400 laps on his way to the win. In fact, Busch was so dominant that only nine cars remained on the lead lap by the time the checkered flag flew. His biggest challenge came from his Joe Gibbs Racing teammate Denny Hamlin, who finished second.
In September, Kevin Harvick and Carl Edwards were in a class by themselves. Edwards led 113 laps, while Harvick led a race-high 202. Edwards had the advantage in the first half of the race, but in the later runs, Harvick powered to the front and picked up the win.
The Favorites – 2012 Capital City 400 Odds, Predictions and Free Picks
It’s time to forget about his slow start to the 2012 season. Not only is Kyle Busch the defending winner of this weekend’s race, but his 5.0 average finish at Richmond is the best in the series. He has finished worse than sixth only twice in 14 career starts at the track, picking up three wins and four second-place finishes. More importantly, all three wins have come in his last six starts at Richmond.
There was a time when it seemed like Virginia native Denny Hamlin was never going to win at his home-state track. Two wins in the last five races at Richmond have changed that, and his 7.6 average finish at the track is the second best among active drivers. Hamlin has finished outside the top 15 only once in 12 career starts at RIR, and since finally winning in 2009, he has a 4.8 average finish in five starts.
In his last 15 starts at Richmond, Kevin Harvick has finished in the top 12 in all but one start. He has picked up 12 top-10s during the stretch, including a pair of wins. Harvick’s most-recent victory at the track came in the fall of last season, when he led more than half the race. He always seems to be near the front at RIR, and he is more than capable of closing the deal.
The Dark Horses – 2012 Capital City 400 Odds, Predictions and Free Picks
Although Carl Edwards has never one at Richmond, bettors shouldn’t forget about him this weekend. He has finished in the top 10 in four straight starts, picking up three top-five finishes during the stretch. Edwards finished in the top five in both races at RIR last year, including a career-best second-place run in the fall. He just keeps getting better at the track, and a win could come sooner rather than later.
Jeff Gordon has done everything but win at Richmond in his last 10 starts. During the stretch, he has finished 12th or better nine times and inside the top 10 eight times. Gordon has finished third or better three times in his last five starts at RIR, and it seems like only a matter of time before he returns to Victory Lane at the track.
Sleeper Specials – 2012 Capital City 400 Odds, Predictions and Free Picks
On rare occasions, a driver can go on such an incredible hot streak that their past numbers just have to be ignored, and Martin Truex Jr. is enjoying one of those runs right now. Eight races into the 2012 season, he is tied for the series lead with six top-10s and is coming off a near win at Kansas. Truex has a 24.3 average finish at Richmond for his career and a 20.3 career average finish overall, but he has a 7.5 average finish this year and already has more top-five finishes than he has had in five of his six previous seasons at the Cup level. Until he cools off, Truex is tough to bet against.
Driving for a small operation like Tommy Baldwin Racing has left Dave Blaney an afterthought at almost every track on the schedule. However, Richmond seems to be an exception. He finished in the top 20 in both races at the track last season, including a 13th-place effort last May. Granted, Blaney is still a serious underdog, but with his odds of winning sure to be incredibly long, he is a bettor’s best hope of a huge payday.
Drivers to Avoid – 2012 Capital City 400 Odds, Predictions and Free Picks
A hot start that includes a Daytona 500 win and a series-best five top-five finishes has Matt Kenseth thinking championship. That being said, bettors should think twice before backing him this weekend at Richmond. Kenseth has finished outside the top 10 in his last nine starts at the track, and he has failed to crack the top 20 five times during the stretch.
He continues to sit atop the point standings, but Greg Biffle could finally hit a bump in the road this weekend. He has never won a race at Richmond, and he has just a single top-five finish in 19 career starts. To make matters worse, Biffle hasn’t even cracked the top 10 in his last 10 starts at the track.
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2012 Capital City 400 Odds – April 28th at Richmond International Raceway.
Driver Odds to Win the 2012 Capital City 400
•KYLE BUSCH +600
•DENNY HAMLIN +600
•JIMMIE JOHNSON +700
•JEFF GORDON +800
•CARL EDWARDS +900
•KEVIN HARVICK +900
•TONY STEWART +1000
•BRAD KESELOWSKI +1200
•KASEY KAHNE +1200
•GREG BIFFLE +1500
•MATT KENSETH +1500
•DALE EARNHARDT JR +2000
•CLINT BOWYER +2700
•RYAN NEWMAN +2500
•MARTIN TRUEX JR +2500
•MARK MARTIN +3000
•AJ ALLMENDINGER +4000
•JEFF BURTON +4000
•THE FIELD (ANY OTHER DRIVER) +1200
Check the latest NASCAR Odds and Betting Lines from BOVADA below: