2011 Quaker State 400 Odds, Predictions, Betting Tips and Free Picks – Favorites and Lines to Win Quaker State 400: NASCAR betting odds to win the 2011 Quaker State 400 this Saturday night, July 9th at Kentucky Speedway in Sparta, Kentucky have been posted at all the major Las Vegas and best online sportsbooks and the online bookies with Carl Edwards, Jimmie Johnson and Kyle Busch having been installed as the +800 favorites to win the 2011 Quaker State 400.
Fresh off a trip to Daytona that produced the third first-time winner in 2011, the Cup Series will head to Kentucky Speedway for yet another first. Saturday night’s Quaker State 400 will mark the first time the 1.5-mile track has hosted a Sprint Cup event. Kentucky has already produced some exciting races in the Truck and Nationwide Series, but there is a big difference when the Cup drivers are in action. There will no doubt be a few surprises in this inaugural event.
Since there aren’t any previous Cup races at Kentucky to fall back on, looking at some inaugural races from similar tracks may provide the best insight into what to expect. Homestead, Chicagoland and Kansas are all relatively new additions to the Cup Series schedule, and all three tracks share the 1.5-mile layout of Kentucky Speedway. The inaugural event at those tracks were won by Tony Stewart, Kevin Harvick and Jeff Gordon, respectively, which makes it fairly likely that a big name will end up in Victory Lane this Saturday.
2011 Quaker State 400 – The Favorites
In the last 10 races at 1.5-mile tracks, Carl Edwards has been very impressive. He leads all drivers with two wins and five top-five finishes during the stretch, and his six top-10s and 358 laps led are both second best. Edwards already has one victory at a 1.5-mile track in 2011, and he could easily add a second win to that total at Kentucky this weekend.
Roush Fenway Racing driver Matt Kenseth has been a consistent presence near the front at tracks with the same layout as Kentucky. He has scored more points than any other driver in the last 10 races at 1.5-mile tracks, notching a series-leading seven top-10 finishes. His 7.9 average finish during the stretch is also tops among drivers, and Kenseth has already led the most laps in two events at 1.5-mile tracks in 2011.
2011 Quaker State 400 – The Dark Horses
Entering Saturday’s race at Kentucky, Kevin Harvick is the point leader and has the best average finish of any driver in 2011. At a track where nobody really knows what will happen, backing the driver that has been the best this year is a pretty good strategy. Not to mention the fact that Harvick has scored the fourth-most points at 1.5-mile tracks in the last 10 races.
He hasn’t been the most consistent performer at 1.5-mile tracks, but no driver has led more laps in the last 10 races than Kurt Busch. He has been out front for 458 laps – 100 more than the next closest driver. Busch also brings plenty of momentum to Kentucky. He has been leading laps and finishing in the top five for the last month.
2011 Quaker State 400 – Sleepers Specials
His numbers at 1.5-mile tracks aren’t great and his numbers in 2011 are even worse, but Joey Logano shouldn’t be written off this weekend at Kentucky. He has made three starts at the track in the Nationwide Series, and he has won all three times. While success in the Nationwide Series doesn’t necessarily translate to the Cup level, it is pretty clear that Logano likes this track.
For the last two seasons, Paul Menard has been establishing himself as one of the better options at 1.5-mile tracks. In the last 10 races, he has finished in the top 10 on five occasions while compiling a 14.4 average finish. During that stretch, he has scored the 11th-most points of any driver.
2011 Quaker State 400 – Big Names to Avoid
Jeff Burton’s 2011 campaign has been nothing short of miserable, and it probably won’t get any better this weekend. In the last 10 races at 1.5-mile tracks, he has just one top-10 finish and has compiled a 21.5 average finish. During that stretch, Burton has failed to finish on the lead lap five times.
While he has the talent to win at any track, Juan Pablo Montoya has been plagued by bouts of inconsistency at 1.5-mile tracks. In his last 10 starts, he has just a single top-10 finish compared to two DNFs. Montoya has a 20.2 average finish during that stretch, and he has failed to finish on the lead lap a staggering six times.
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2011 Quaker State 400 Odds – July 9th
Driver Odds to Win the Quaker State 400
101 Carl Edwards +800
102 Jimmie Johnson +800
103 Kyle Busch +800
104 Kurt Busch +900
105 Denny Hamlin +1000
106 Kevin Harvick +1000
107 Tony Stewart +1200
108 Jeff Gordon +1200
109 Matt Kenseth +1200
110 Greg Biffle +1200
111 Dale Earnhardt Jr +1500
112 Clint Bowyer +2000
113 Kasey Kahne +2000
114 Joey Logano +3000
115 Ryan Newman +3000
116 Juan Montoya +3000
117 Jeff Burton +3000
118 Mark Martin +3000
119 David Ragan +4000
120 Martin Truex Jr +4000
121 David Reutimann +4000
122 Jamie McMurray +4000
123 Brian Vickers +4000
124 Field +2000
Check the latest NASCAR Odds and Betting Lines from BoDog below: